I lost 16 buyins at $25 PLO back in my hayday.

k3nt,
excellent post. Could you post your standard deviation for each level as well? You say it increases but I am not so sure.

MHFlush

I have no clue whether SD really increases. I'm sure it depends in part on how you play. I have played more conservatively as I have moved up, and I take down more pots before showdown, so my SD may not have gone up.

Regardless of whether SD increases, if winrate decreases then swings that go negative will be more common. That was the thought that occurred to me, which led me write the post.

As for my own SD over time, I don't have that. Since more than half of my recent $50 NL has been at Bodog (PT incompatible) I have no way to calculate it for the $50 game, unfortunately.

Excellent post!!

I think SD numbers would be more reliable for the guys playing the higher stakes. I think for us playing relatively for a short periiod of time that information could be misleading because most of us have been developing, changing styles and adapting.
My winrate for more than 15K hands at NL$50 was way higher than it was at NL$50 but I dont think it has to be with quality of game. I have been having a lot of fun playing LAG and doing crazy stuff and i have 10.2ptBB/100 anyway.

I know the winrates must be lower as you move up because of the game quality but I think 25% is way high. I started at NL$25, I am playing currently at NL$50 and have played a few hands of NL$100 and the jump in game quality is not that huge. Noticeable, not nothing huge.

I just hope the games stay soft for a while.