I agree with betting flop. I don't understand why our plan woud ever be to CR button when we have an OESD which is pretty concealed draw (more so than a flush draw that is) and our hand has no showdown value as is. That just makes no sense to me. You want to keep players in, the best way to do that is lead flop or check/call.
As played, you need to fold. You have only 6 clean outs and there are a zillion redraws on the river and you are OOP. If we somehow had position and could better control how many bets we have to put in on the turn I would stick around.
The "overcard out theory" is really not enough to swing this at all. Even if you get running two pair anyone with a K beat you. That theory is maybe 0.25 outs. You need a straight or maybe running trips to win this and have to possibly fade any flush card.Statistics: Posted by growlers — Fri Aug 03, 2007 8:14 pm
]]>