Did seem like t day I just couldn't even get many decent hands to raise or even call with.
I did get PT going finally with help from PT suppor. At the $2-$4 table my VP$IP was 16%, was playing looser at the .50c-$1 tables with a VP$IP of 30%. Will have to get more proficient at using PT to plug my leaks.
Appreciate all the help musicman, I hope to eventually get to be a decent player. This game is very challenging and I like that, and with enough study, practice, and work, this game should be beatable.
Statistics: Posted by GrizRodder — Thu May 12, 2005 9:07 pm
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FWIW, though, after ~4k hands my SD is at ~15 BB/100 and my WR is at ~4 BB/100 - I'm not sure how great these numbers are, but from what I've seen, these are decent for a "normal" winning player. There's actually a post I responded to in the Bankroll Management forums about Standard Deviation, if you want more clarification on this subject: . I'd recommend reading that post to understand what the 15 BB/100 stat really represents, but it should give you an idea of your swings. Based on my WR, this basically means that on a really good day, I may win 2 SDs above my average WR (for a total of 34 BB/100), and on a bad day, I may lose 2 SDs below my average WR (for a total of -26 BB/100), but on average, I will be anywhere from +/- 1 SD from my average WR (for a range of -11 BB/100 to +19 BB/100).
Also, just to give you an idea what kind of play this is based on, here's my other stats:
VP$IP - 21.95%
Pre-flop Raise: 8.38%
Went to showdown - 30.66%
Won at showdown - 51.09%
Overall AF = 1.88
Flop Aggression = 1.87
Turn Aggression = 1.94
River Aggression = 1.85
The other folks can comment on how good/bad these numbers are - but I'll reiterate my word of warning - this data is only based on ~4k hands, so I'm not sure how accurate it all is. All I can pretty safely say is that my SD has definitely appeared to have converged, and doesn't fluctuate wildly on either side of 15 BB/100.
Anyway Griz, I hope this answered your question.
Statistics: Posted by musicman80 — Wed May 11, 2005 3:35 pm
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How much of a swing can I see at the level I'am playing. Seems tough to get ahead at this limit. What should I expect playing reasonably well?
Statistics: Posted by GrizRodder — Wed May 11, 2005 12:54 pm
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Yeah, the SSH book is definitely pretty loose... I don't often end up at tables that are quite so loose, so I've found I have to tighten up my selection quite a bit. I think there are two key points to the SSH book, though, and they are quite simple: (a) pot odds - in those super-loose games, you can actually remain +EV by playing draw-only types of hands; (b) in general, you have to be much more conscientious about how you count your drawing outs. Just because you've only got a backdoor flush draw doesn't mean you should fold it always; neither does it mean that you should play it always. You have to look at the situation, see if you've also made a hand (say top pair no kicker), and what kind of odds the pot is laying you. In general, I think Ed Miller's point is that you should be much more aggressive in trying to win the big pots in a loose-passive game.
That being said, I play almost exclusively on UB. I don't find those kinds of games at the 1/2 level, at least. So I've tightened up the SSH guidelines quite a bit. You'll have to play a lot of hands before you can begin to see patterns in situations anyway... so just stick at the limits you can afford for the moment, and be prepared to grind it out. It will take a while, in all likelihood - and don't get carried away with either huge upswings *or* huge downswings - your SD early on is likely to be pretty high. Just concentrate on the game.
And don't gamble away your life's savings.
Hope things work out for you!Statistics: Posted by musicman80 — Wed May 11, 2005 11:30 am
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I've got the Miller, Skylansky, Malmuth book, Small Stakes Hold'em, am calling a lot hands from their charts in the blinds and the button, using the eary chart and adapting it for middle and late preflop cards. Calling a lot of small sets, even it its raised once, not hitting many of them, also they say in a unraised pot call down to A2s, which seems awfully loose, for early position. Hitting very few of them also.
Seems like this .50c-$1 limit is up and down, PE said that it was a waste of time playing $1-$2 and $2-$4 was a lot better. I imagine that goes for .50c-$1 too, but got to start somewhere, right.
Statistics: Posted by GrizRodder — Wed May 11, 2005 10:40 am
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Personally, I think it's tricky whether or not you want to raise with TT/JJ or even AQ - but those are hands that I'd usually cold-call with from middle position or later. Whether or not I raise really with those hands depends on the situation.
But the point is that with hands that are weaker than those big pairs and those big aces (i.e., your top money makers), it becomes very difficult to justify a cold-call unless there's plenty of action in the pot. I would say with at least 12 small bets in the pot, you could probably start to play some of those weaker pairs or the weaker suited aces, because you are going to be getting 6:1 on your money to see a flop. With a decent hand like ATs down to even, say, A8s, and with pairs from 99 all the way on down, you're getting pretty decent value on your money. You just have to be ready to ditch the flop if you've completely missed it. This is where playing from a later position really affords you the advantage of seeing what kind of pot odds you're getting before deciding to chase; this is also why it becomes very difficult to be able to even just limp with some of these marginal holdings.
I'll say one more thing about speculative hands - and that has to do with limping. If a lot of people have limped before you (7-8 people), and you only have to call 1 bet, you can probably very safely see the flop from late position with even just a suited king, I think. I think you've got to be prepared to throw it away right away if someone raises and people don't continue to call the raise - but the key here is pot odds. Pot odds, pot odds, pot odds! I don't think there's very much you can throw away when you're getting crazy odds like 12:1 or higher - as long as you've got outs, you can continue to draw. You just have to watch your odds, and watch the class of players you're up against, and I think you can play some of these speculative hands for +EV.
I think a great reference on these super-loose types of games is Small Stakes Hold 'Em by Ed Miller - he describes exactly how you should count your weak drawing outs, and under what situations you can cheaply see a flop. If you haven't also read Winning Low Limit Hold 'Em (Lee Jones), that's a good introduction as well.
One final word of caution: all of this advice really only applies to those super-loose games with weak players. The minute you start getting the LAG-types in there, you have to be much more careful to not throw your money into every pot, because that *will* be -EV. (If I'm not mistaken, I think that's precisely their strategy!)
OK guys - am I wrong here? Please correct my thinking!
Statistics: Posted by musicman80 — Tue May 10, 2005 9:43 am
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Your probably right there, I think I"am chasing these players, because they are so loose, and I'am playing as bad as they are.
Thanks for the help
Statistics: Posted by GrizRodder — Tue May 10, 2005 7:02 am
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You make money when people call your raises with hands they shouldn't. Don't give it back by doing the same against their raises.
Your VP$IP does look a bit high. Perhaps you can get away with some extra hands against very loose opponents, but I still don't think it should be much in excess of 20%. If you like, you can give us a rundown of your starting hands from various positions, and we'll see if we can help you cut 'em back a bit.
-TW
Statistics: Posted by TightWad — Tue May 10, 2005 6:38 am
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VP$IP 28.6%
PreFlopR 8.6%
PostFlopAggresion 1.85
FlopsSeen 30.75%
Turns 22.15%
RiversSeen 16.56%
ShowDownsSeen 11.83%
Showdowns/Won 29.09%
What would be some decent number for the limit I'am playing at now (.50c-$1) Most of these tables are really loose, so part of my problem, I believe, is thinking I can loosen up a lot when I should tighten up more, and not respecting a 2 bet raise preflop, or postflop. Playing to many hands to the river.
Statistics: Posted by GrizRodder — Tue May 10, 2005 5:56 am
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I do'nt think that I'am seeing to many flops at that low a limit., must be cold calling to much because I think I can, due to the looseness of these guys. I'd say I have to tighten up a lot on the flop, turn, river. Was up over$100 from $50 at one time, now down to $12. I think I was not paying attention to my cold calling, saw to many turns, and rivers, and went to the river to much with out folding, thinking I could get away with it because the game was so loose. Appreciate any imput.
Statistics: Posted by GrizRodder — Tue May 10, 2005 5:15 am
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