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After the fact analysis
I think the hearts severely taint the call as well. That should have possibly been the deciding factor to drop the hand. There are 46 unknown cards, although I can probably safely say at least 1 A or Q is in play. Assuming 22:1 odds to hit either three, I need to recover 9 small bets (4.5 PTBB) on the turn and river. The better is one off from me and he is betting for sure when checked to. If the turn checks around, I'm fucked and my read was wrong. With the check raise plan I recover my 4.5PTBB easy, and everything else is gravy.
If 3h comes, I lead out and call to a raise, realizing that I am still safe to play for a boat agree/disagree). If the boat hits, leading or CRing river becomes read dependent.
This play is very rare, but I still think that given the reads/positions on the table, the play is +EV. If I had 3h in hand instead I think the play is much better.
Statistics: Posted by killme — Wed Nov 30, 2005 3:10 pm
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Party 5/10 shorthanded eh, maybe I've been playing too much 5/10 full, this game looks quite profitable if it wasn't for the crazy rake.
Statistics: Posted by The Golden 1 — Wed Nov 30, 2005 2:13 pm
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On the flop, you're getting 14-to-1 on your call. Borrowing from EP9's Sklansky-hugging, it's almost stupid to fold, even though you know you're beat on the flop. Most quality players will call a bet and peel one off given 14-to-1. The turn brings your gin card. You check-raise the turn (which will get you lambasted by the opponents of FPS--Fancy Play Syndrome) with TWO flush draws out there (a little dangerous) and get all but the CO to come along.
The river completes your boat--and you're legitimately only behind 99 or A9. You lead, get one caller and take the hand.
I like the play, but beware the two flush draws and the Broadway draw, because you're giving everyone odds who wants to chase, and even at 5/10, you'll get a lot of flush chasers...You'll get a chase from someone holding cards for a straight, a flush.
Here I agree with those who say that they check-raise was a bad move. People play Broadways aggressively, and flush draws aggressively. You easily could've been sucked out on there.
Anyhoo, vnh, and $185 in your pocket is always nice!
Statistics: Posted by Tiburon — Wed Nov 30, 2005 2:09 pm
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Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed)
Preflop: Hero is BB with
![[3c]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/3c.gif "The Three of Clubs")
, ![[3d]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/3d.gif "The Three of Diamonds")
. CO posts a blind of $5. 1 fold, MP raises, CO (poster) calls, Button calls, SB calls, Hero calls.
Flop: (10 SB)
![[9s]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/9s.gif "The Nine of Spades")
, ![[Qh]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Qh.gif "The Queen of Hearts")
, ![[Ah]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Ah.gif "The Ace of Hearts")
(5 players)SB checks, Hero checks, MP bets, CO calls, Button calls, SB calls, Hero calls.
Turn: (7.50 BB)
![[3s]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/3s.gif "The Three of Spades")
(5 players)SB checks, Hero checks, MP bets, CO calls, Button calls, SB calls, Hero raises, MP calls, CO folds, Button calls, SB calls.
River: (16.50 BB)
![[9c]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/9c.gif "The Nine of Clubs")
(4 players)SB checks, Hero bets, MP calls, Button folds, SB folds.
Final Pot: 18.50 BB
Results in white below:
Hero has 3c 3d (full house, threes full of nines).
MP has 7h Ad (two pair, aces and nines).
Outcome: Hero wins 18.50 BB.
Statistics: Posted by killme — Wed Nov 30, 2005 1:51 pm
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