I actually wish I did have Omaha-tracker, as I'm pretty sure I had more than just nothing on the flop. I think the 9 was on the flop rather than the turn. I know I had 2 bad flush draws plus the nut straight draw on the turn.
The way he's playing, I think he's going to pot it if he has it (and maybe if he doesn't) if a heart hits because he's going to have to put me on QQ with this sequence. Hence, I THINK I can get away from the hand fairly easily.
If he does pot a heart on the turn, I'm folding for sure.
I guess it also matters hugely whether the 9 is on the flop or the turn. If it's on the flop, while he could have some kind of wrap to the same straight as I have, he's MUCH more likely just on the flush draw and probably a bigger one than mine.
Anyhow, I was putting him primarily on hearts or possibly a smaller set. If he has hearts only, I take away several of his outs anyway. But (assuming the 9 was on the flop, which makes my play sound a bit more reasonable--I really think it was, as I can't see myself bluffing that strongly with just nothing on the flop), I don't know whether it's then going to be the right play to pot a non-heart river yet again if checked to me and I don't make my straight.
Actually, the river is another case where I'm not potting it even with the nuts. There's nothing to protect against, so there I usually bet half pot or even 1/3 if I have the nuts. So, a non-heart river (again assuming the 9 on the flop) makes 1/2 pot (looking a LOT more like a value bet and still huge relative to stacks) at least a possibility. But it's hard to know how far it's reasonable to carry these things.
It worked, anyway, so I'm happy about that. But, assuming a 9 on the flop, then just making my club draw on the turn, does this change your view of the hand?
I agree that there are much better betting spots than this if the 9 didn't make it until the turn.Statistics: Posted by Aisthesis — Tue Feb 28, 2006 11:48 am
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