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villain needs at least a perfect three-card hand to beat you here (248x or 234 to 3/4) -- that or a four-card hand like 2389. more likely is a nut low and a flush draw or just a str8 maybe with a flush redraw. nut low with a set is also possible.
if villain is a bad loose-passive player (e.g., jams with one-way hands on two-way boards), i call. if he seems to be smart about it, then i will fold. you're paying about $100 to contest for all or part of $74, so you have to figure out how likely it is that villain is not playing the two-way nuts.
fwiw, some people make this play on the turn with the bare nut low.
Statistics: Posted by Kuso — Thu Mar 23, 2006 11:11 pm
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Blinds: $2/$2
10 players
Stack sizes:
Hero: $192.00
UTG+2: $163.50 (VPIP 55, PFR 7.5, AF-Tot 0.89)
Pre-flop: (10 players) Hero is UTG with
![[Ac]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Ac.gif "The Ace of Clubs")
![[3s]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/3s.gif "The Three of Spades")
![[4s]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/4s.gif "The Four of Spades")
![[9d]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/9d.gif "The Nine of Diamonds")
Hero calls $2, UTG+1 calls $2, UTG+2 calls $2, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $2, 3 folds, SB (poster) checks, BB (poster) checks.
Flop:
![[6c]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/6c.gif "The Six of Clubs")
![[Ah]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Ah.gif "The Ace of Hearts")
![[7h]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/7h.gif "The Seven of Hearts")
($14, 6 players)SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $12, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls $12, 3 folds.
Turn:
![[5s]](http://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/5s.gif "The Five of Spades")
($38, 2 players)Hero bets $36, UTG+2 raises to $144, Hero ...
Statistics: Posted by TomG — Thu Mar 23, 2006 10:55 pm
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