THe preflop raise is great, and you short of heads up, you achieved your goal. right on.
On the flop, with $4 in there, you're bet is waaaaaay too weak. For $4 i'm putting you on AK right now and calling with 33 as well. You need to be betting more like $8/$9 here. There's no flush draw, but the two high cards on board are ugly, and there's a lot of dangerous turn cards. Ideally you want to get read of at least one opponent here, and you want to make him pay to draw against you're hand.
On the turn, with $18 in the pot, you need to be betting more like $15. Once again, you've got a strong hand, you don't have AK. while he technically is getting incorrect odds to draw against you, your bets scream weakness, and are setting you up for the bluff.
On the river, with $28 in the pot, i don't mind your bet. You've got a strong hand now. I may still be betting something more like $15, but you want him to just call your bet and not raise it.
There's nothing wrong wtih folding here, IMO, when you're raised all in on the river with just an overpair. THe board is intimidating that the only hands you can really beat are TPTK (which makes no sense the way he's played it) or a bluff. I'm personaly not a huge fan of picking off bluffs in ring games, because i can always reload. I'm also going to make a note that this guy may pick off smaller bets as weakness and try to make a play against them.
Anyways, i still stick with my theory that folding isn't a terrible play at this point. other than that, increase your bets to at least 3/4 pot. the only time underbetting the pot is good is when you're against terrible players and you want to build a pot. Other than that, be aggressive. betting $4 into a $10 pot screams weakness. don't be afraid to bet the full $10 if there's multiple draws on board.
~DustinStatistics: Posted by Stelvask — Tue Nov 09, 2004 10:18 am
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