AWESOME topic! As you know, I am a steadfast believer in the theory that there is no wrong time to bluff. That's obviously a bloody awful theory, but I figure at this time in my life, I gotta start believing in something.
Hand 1 : Yeah, I know it looks corny and obvious, but getting 7:1 I think you gotta bluff this if you think there's a reasonable chance that he's overdefending or pushing a draw himself.
Hand 2 : I'll be honest, I also get the occasional kick outta 3-betting with suited connectors preflop. Usually, I at least TELL people I have some kinda read though!
No shame in lying, mizor-boy. I'm cool with your flop raise since the lead out bet does indicate weakness, and I've really been surprised lately how often people lead out on ace-high flops and fold to my continuation raise. Of course, it doesn't always work. I'd like to say you should probably take the free card on the turn because it doesn't look like he's folding...in practice, I'd fire another bet no doubt, but at least I'd realize it's probably a bad idea. On the river, I don't think there's much chance at all he'll fold so the check is good.
Hand 3 : Definitely good play. Textbook, in fact! I'm not sure which textbook in particular, but clearly we've both read it. Or at least looked at the pictures
Hand 4 : I don't know, I think the river check is good. The only hand I see him folding after all this would be a T9. I really doubt he'd fold AK on the river there.
Hand 5 : God-damn, this is a lotta fuckin hands! Yeah, I think it's worth taking one more shot at the river. He may have the Ax with the Ac, or hell even the Ax with the xc. I think it's definitely worth one more shot on the river.
Hand 6 : Eh, I don't know...this board just doesn't look like a good one to make a move on, in my opinion. If I'm gonna try to steal with nothing out of the BB, I prefer a really rag flop with one face card J-K. I think having the possible draws and the K9x on this flop makes it a not-so-good percentage play to try and take it. Just my opinion, though!
I think the biggest thing to keep in mind about bluffs is that they won't work very often, but they don't need to! If you're getting something like 8:1 or 9:1 on your river bluff, it's very often worth taking a shot. No, not always, but if you're up against an aggressive opponent who could be pushing a draw...or a passive opponent who could be calling with one, it's often worth stabbing with your own busted draw.
I'll close by posting a hand I played yesterday that just goes to show what can happen when two people get stubborn in a battle of the blinds. I had been very...active at this table, and the guy I was against seemed to be getting sick of it, so I decided to put him to the test. It helped that I picked up the flush draw on the turn, but I was gonna raise no matter what. Looking back, this hand seems like a great example of chip-spewing on my end, but hey it's important to have fun at work, right?
***** Hand History for Game 2466392371 *****
$3/$6 Texas Hold'em - Tuesday, August 02, 16:36:48 EDT 2005
Table Table 15689 (Real Money)
Seat 10 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: Jeanette29 ( $254 )
Seat 10: TangRocks ( $455.50 )
Seat 9: viv12883 ( $249.50 )
Seat 3: Macadamias2 ( $158 )
Seat 7: Rokuban ( $110 )
Seat 5: hopdevil006 ( $21.50 )
Seat 6: Larsson85 ( $137 )
Seat 2: whatthe888 ( $160 )
Seat 8: Deftones6339 ( $34 )
Seat 4: biedermeier ( $164 )
Jeanette29 posts small blind [$1].
whatthe888 posts big blind [$3].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to TangRocks [ 4c Kd ]
Macadamias2 folds.
biedermeier folds.
hopdevil006 folds.
Larsson85 folds.
Rokuban folds.
Deftones6339 folds.
viv12883 folds.
TangRocks raises [$6].
Jeanette29 folds.
whatthe888 calls [$3].
** Dealing Flop ** [ Jh, 6d, Jd ]
whatthe888 bets [$3].
TangRocks raises [$6].
whatthe888 raises [$6].
TangRocks calls [$3].
** Dealing Turn ** [ 5d ]
whatthe888 bets [$6].
TangRocks raises [$12].
whatthe888 folds.
TangRocks does not show cards.
TangRocks wins $47
And here's a more standard, less reckless one from today. Okay, granted the SB limp of 98o is a little ugly, but ah well! I really thought he was just calling me with overs or straight crap because my bet looked like a steal, so I decided to go check-raise on the turn. Didn't work as planned, but when someone pushes that hard I often figure they either have a monster or a draw, so I figured the river bet was worth a shot.
***** Hand History for Game 2471058730 *****
$3/$6 Texas Hold'em - Wednesday, August 03, 12:41:49 EDT 2005
Table Table 15683 (Real Money)
Seat 9 is the button
Total number of players : 9
Seat 8: KMAKMA333 ( $249 )
Seat 9: alcalerginas ( $327 )
Seat 10: TangRocks ( $299.50 )
Seat 7: Xaneus10 ( $152 )
Seat 2: JBzone ( $70 )
Seat 6: AaronLZ ( $292 )
Seat 4: URomy ( $10 )
Seat 5: VegasAg ( $115 )
Seat 3: faenX ( $173 )
TangRocks posts small blind [$1].
JBzone posts big blind [$3].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to TangRocks [ 9h 8c ]
faenX folds.
URomy folds.
VegasAg folds.
AaronLZ folds.
Xaneus10 folds.
KMAKMA333 calls [$3].
alcalerginas folds.
TangRocks calls [$2].
JBzone checks.
** Dealing Flop ** [ 6d, 6c, 7h ]
TangRocks bets [$3].
JBzone calls [$3].
KMAKMA333 folds.
** Dealing Turn ** [ Jd ]
TangRocks checks.
JBzone bets [$6].
TangRocks raises [$12].
JBzone raises [$12].
TangRocks calls [$6].
** Dealing River ** [ As ]
TangRocks bets [$6].
JBzone folds.
TangRocks does not show cards.
TangRocks wins $54.50.
-TW