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Fold this hand?

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Fold this hand?

Postby MecosKing » Sun Nov 27, 2005 3:03 pm

Well, keeping with my pretty disgusting < 50% winning rate with AA, This wonderful hand came up. My exact words on the river were, and M the M can attest to this- NO 8 no king! no 8, no king! No 8 no....AH FUCK FUCK FUCK! And there the 8 rolls off and there the mizor bets. My question is: Should i have just said ah FUCK and save a BB and fold here, or is this just one of those spots where you pretty much have to donk of a BB in this big pot to see the painfully obvious JTo?

Dealt to AKsoGay [Ah] [Ac]
nancyboy555 calls [$15].
FastFoodPimp folds.
jdd001 calls [$15].
SuperCPA folds.
Merkin__ folds.
AKsoGay raises [$30].
BUD1164 folds.
AlNewcomb calls [$20].
gismo calls [$15].
nancyboy555 calls [$15].
jdd001 calls [$15].
** Dealing Flop ** [2s] [9h] [Qs]
AlNewcomb checks.
gismo checks.
nancyboy555 checks.
jdd001 bets [$15].
AKsoGay raises [$30].
AlNewcomb folds.
gismo calls [$30].
nancyboy555 folds.
jdd001 calls [$15].
** Dealing Turn ** [4h]
gismo checks.
jdd001 checks.
AKsoGay bets [$30].
gismo calls [$30].
jdd001 calls [$30].
** Dealing River ** [8d]
gismo checks.
jdd001 bets [$30].
AKsoGay calls [$30].
gismo folds.
jdd001 shows [Jd] [Tc] a straight, eight to queen.
AKsoGay doesn't show [Ah] [Ac] a pair of aces.
jdd001 wins $387 from the main pot with a straight, eight to queen.

Does anyone send this one sailing to the mizors river bet?
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Postby EscapePlan9 » Sun Nov 27, 2005 4:18 pm

Eh... the pot was huge and you'd only have to be right 8% of the time. Still, I'd expect this river bet to at least mean two-pair. There's no good reason he'd throw out that bet without 2-pair or better on the river. If you had a set or aces up, I'd always call here. Otherwise, lacking a read, folding probably is best. Not saying I'd be able to fold in that huge pot with aces, but still, I think folding would be the +EV play.
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Postby Xaston » Sun Nov 27, 2005 6:52 pm

Not a snowball's chance in hell.
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Postby The Golden 1 » Sun Nov 27, 2005 10:43 pm

Hell no would I fold that.
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Postby Kuso » Sun Nov 27, 2005 11:23 pm

no way... especially if i brought ought the worst in people like you do.

dude, you're losing your rep as a world-class mizor... step it up already.
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