by excession » Fri Nov 19, 2004 8:17 am
Unless you have PT running showing the BB to be a absolute rock (I mean 2% pfr or less) it's hard to put him on an overpair (AA,KK or QQ) when he raises.
The small re-raise on the flop to me indicates that he wants callers though - I think my slowplay antennae might flash at that point (I might have a very good look at his PT stats then). I might then suspect AA,KK,QQ,TT or set of Nines - he knows MP is a maniac who won't fold to a mere $1 re-raise - so he probably isn't bluffing with AK (though he may think it's good it's hard to believe no pair is out there with 2 others still in). When he sees your re-raise it's hard to put him on a hand other than 999 or AA.
I don't like your bluff at the pot on the turn - you are only going to get a call if you are beat from the good player but he probably does have you beat and may well have a monster MP is very likely to be an 'any ace' kind of guy
Of course 20/20 hindsight is a wonderful thing and I would probably have played this exactly the same way - that's the problem with JJ-it's so vulnerable to overcards falling you end up betting out to protect it when you may already be beat