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Kentucky Derby

Postby Xaston » Sat May 03, 2008 1:21 pm

Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.
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Postby charlie sheepskins » Sun May 04, 2008 12:56 am

something tells me that none of your horses are coming in sir... not including the winner in your list kinda screws up the parimutuels...
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Postby Xaston » Sun May 04, 2008 1:51 am

Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.
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Postby Subzero_Wins » Sun May 04, 2008 2:03 am

AlexMR is a donk.
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Postby Xaston » Sun May 04, 2008 2:04 am

Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.
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Postby KJo » Sun May 04, 2008 2:37 pm

Can someone who is good at math figure out how it is possible that Xas picked 7 out of 20 horses and not a single one of them cashed? Really, what are the odds?


Eli
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Postby Beavis68 » Sun May 04, 2008 2:42 pm

you would have to know how good each horse is.


but assuming they all are equal it is about a 25% chance
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Postby Stelvask » Sun May 04, 2008 5:50 pm

-[4h]-
Stelvask
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Postby RedBarracuda » Mon May 05, 2008 7:22 am

Is Gabey your father Jaime?
Image
(6:35:48 PM) giantgrwth: I once beat up an attempted murderer, 25% true story
(6:35:59 PM) hard2tel45s: boxing?
(6:36:06 PM) giantgrwth: Yea
(6:36:14 PM) hard2tel45s: sweet
(6:36:30 PM) giantgrwth: He was my best friend too, lol
(6:36:48 PM) hard2tel45s: well u were in the crazy bin bro
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Postby KJo » Mon May 05, 2008 2:41 pm

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Postby Schuster » Mon May 05, 2008 8:58 pm

It's late and I'm tired, but I'm getting 12.1% chance of not hitting anything assuming all the horses have an equal chance. It'd probably be even more laughably low if you took all the odds at the time, normalized them, and then did it again, but that seems like an awful lot of work just to make fun of Jamie.
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Postby Beavis68 » Mon May 05, 2008 10:46 pm

total combinations with 20 horses

x=20! = 2.43E+18

combinations without 7 horses finishing 1,2,3

y=13*12*11*17!=6.1E+17


y/x=25%
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