by GooperMC » Sat Dec 09, 2006 5:30 pm
<begin whining>
Please jump to the end winning if you want any meaningful poker content because what is going to follow is going to be nonsensical whining.
Sometimes I really don't like this game. I got all in pre river 12 times this session, and every single time I had odds. Yet I earned greater then my EV only 4 times.
Here is the hit list:
79% EV: Scoop
83% EV: Scoop
95% EV: Scoop
61% EV: ½
44% EV 3 way : ½,
31% EV 3 way: ¼
34% EV 3 way main pot, 55% EV side pot: ¼ in both
35% EV calling all in: 0
43% calling a bet: ¼
40% in a 3 way pot: 0
33% in main pot, 65% in site pot: ¼ in both
88% EV: 0
Apparently I need 80+ equity to win a god damn hand.
At one point this session I was up $250 and I ended up +$30. Grumble, Grumble, Grumble. I really wish Phil’s tool showed Tribecca so that I could graph the massacre that was the last ½ of the session. I actually said that I would stop playing if I dropped below $75. I was up $160 when the second to last hand listed above happened, to bring me down to up $100. I decided that I was done for the day so I unchecked post blinds on all my tables, when I picked up AA3. My though oh boy here we go again (a sure sign it was time to stop). I raise, the worst player ever calls. Flop is 26J, I pot he calls. Turn Q, I put him all in he calls and shows KK58 and spiked a king. Perfect end to a perfect session.
Here are some gems that I saw today:
La Paz Falls 10474643-88502 Omaha Hi/Lo Pot Limit $1/$2
[Dec 9 22:07:43] : Hand Start.
[Dec 9 22:07:43] : Seat 1 : sshin has $77.75
[Dec 9 22:07:43] : Seat 2 : XxdawnxX has $79
[Dec 9 22:07:43] : Seat 3 : DAKOTA-dog has $19.50
[Dec 9 22:07:43] : Seat 4 : EatTheCat has $207.75
[Dec 9 22:07:43] : Seat 5 : hitternow has $82.17
[Dec 9 22:07:43] : Seat 6 : bluechip has $200
[Dec 9 22:07:43] : sshin is the dealer.
[Dec 9 22:07:43] : XxdawnxX posted small blind.
[Dec 9 22:07:44] : DAKOTA-dog posted big blind.
[Dec 9 22:07:47] : bluechip posted big blind.
[Dec 9 22:07:47] : Game [88502] started with 6 players.
[Dec 9 22:07:47] : Dealing Hole Cards.
[Dec 9 22:07:47] : Seat 4 : EatTheCat has 8c 8h 4s 7d
[Dec 9 22:07:50] : EatTheCat folded.
[Dec 9 22:07:51] : hitternow called $2
[Dec 9 22:07:53] : bluechip checked.
[Dec 9 22:07:56] : sshin called $2 and raised $9
[Dec 9 22:07:58] : XxdawnxX called $10 and raised $28
[Dec 9 22:08:02] : DAKOTA-dog folded.
[Dec 9 22:08:39] : hitternow called $37 and raised $28
[Dec 9 22:08:40] : bluechip folded.
[Dec 9 22:08:44] : sshin called $56
[Dec 9 22:08:46] : XxdawnxX called $28 and raised $12 and is All-in
[Dec 9 22:08:46] : Under-Raise rules are now in effect.
[Dec 9 22:08:48] : hitternow called $12
[Dec 9 22:08:49] : sshin called $10.75 and is All-in
[Dec 9 22:08:49] : Showdown!
[Dec 9 22:08:51] : Seat 1 : sshin has 4d 6h 2s Ah
[Dec 9 22:08:51] : Seat 2 : XxdawnxX has Ad Tc Jd As
[Dec 9 22:08:51] : Seat 5 : hitternow has 7c Ac Js 4c
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : Seat 2 : XxdawnxX has Ad Tc Jd As
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : XxdawnxX has high hand : Two Pair: Aces and Kings
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : Seat 5 : hitternow has 7c Ac Js 4c
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : hitternow has Pair: Kings
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : XxdawnxX wins $2.47 with high hand : Two Pair: Aces and Kings
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : Seat 2 : XxdawnxX has Ad Tc Jd As
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : XxdawnxX has high hand : Two Pair: Aces and Kings
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : Seat 5 : hitternow has 7c Ac Js 4c
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : hitternow has Pair: Kings
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : Seat 1 : sshin has 4d 6h 2s Ah
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : sshin has Two Pair: Kings and 2s
[Dec 9 22:09:00] : XxdawnxX wins $234.28 with high hand : Two Pair: Aces and Kings
[Dec 9 22:08:47] : Hand is over.
I just love the 3 bet with A4.
Ribbon Falls 10474854-67327 Omaha Hi/Lo Pot Limit $2/$4
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : Hand Start.
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : Seat 1 : EatTheCat has $302.25
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : Seat 2 : LucaBrasi has $103.25
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : Seat 3 : marnik111 has $337.25
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : Seat 4 : Rookiegambl has $939.64
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : Seat 5 : Dont7ry has $421.25
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : Seat 6 : otrill has $272.50
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : Seat 7 : berdyfish has $319.75
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : Seat 8 : tyson21 has $42.75
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : Seat 9 : joeypresley has $629.37
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : berdyfish is the dealer.
[Dec 8 21:56:48] : tyson21 posted small blind.
[Dec 8 21:56:49] : joeypresley posted big blind.
[Dec 8 21:56:49] : Game [67327] started with 9 players.
[Dec 8 21:56:49] : Dealing Hole Cards.
[Dec 8 21:56:49] : Seat 1 : EatTheCat has 7d 5c 4h 4c
[Dec 8 21:56:51] : EatTheCat folded.
[Dec 8 21:56:55] : LucaBrasi called $4
[Dec 8 21:56:56] : marnik111 folded.
[Dec 8 21:56:57] : Rookiegambl folded.
[Dec 8 21:57:00] : Dont7ry called $4 and raised $6
[Dec 8 21:57:00] : otrill folded.
[Dec 8 21:57:02] : berdyfish folded.
[Dec 8 21:57:06] : tyson21 called $8
[Dec 8 21:57:12] : joeypresley called $6
[Dec 8 21:57:12] : LucaBrasi called $6
[Dec 8 21:57:13] : Dealing flop.
[Dec 8 21:57:13] : Board cards [Qh Ac 6h]
[Dec 8 21:57:20] : tyson21 checked.
[Dec 8 21:57:22] : joeypresley checked.
[Dec 8 21:57:22] : LucaBrasi checked.
[Dec 8 21:57:28] : Dont7ry bet $30
[Dec 8 21:57:38] : tyson21 folded.
[Dec 8 21:57:41] : joeypresley called $30
[Dec 8 21:57:41] : LucaBrasi folded.
[Dec 8 21:57:42] : Dealing turn.
[Dec 8 21:57:42] : Board cards [Qh Ac 6h Jh]
[Dec 8 21:57:44] : joeypresley checked.
[Dec 8 21:57:47] : Dont7ry bet $100
[Dec 8 21:58:02] : joeypresley has 10 seconds to respond.
[Dec 8 21:58:10] : joeypresley called $100
[Dec 8 21:58:11] : Dealing river.
[Dec 8 21:58:11] : Board cards [Qh Ac 6h Jh Tc]
[Dec 8 21:58:14] : joeypresley checked.
[Dec 8 21:58:17] : Dont7ry checked.
[Dec 8 21:58:17] : Showdown!
[Dec 8 21:58:19] : Seat 9 : joeypresley has Kd 7h 9d 9h
[Dec 8 21:58:19] : joeypresley has high hand : Flush QJ976
[Dec 8 21:58:19] : joeypresley wins $297 with high hand : Flush QJ976
[Dec 8 21:58:28] : Hand is over.
9 high flush OOP on low draw board in the nuts right? In fact I don’t know why he didn’t CRAI on the turn.
Ribbon Falls 10474854-67352 Omaha Hi/Lo Pot Limit $2/$4
[Dec 8 22:25:10] : Hand Start.
[Dec 8 22:25:10] : Seat 1 : EatTheCat has $336
[Dec 8 22:25:10] : Seat 2 : LucaBrasi has $168.25
[Dec 8 22:25:10] : Seat 3 : bklynkd has $150
[Dec 8 22:25:10] : Seat 4 : bluechip has $180.06
[Dec 8 22:25:10] : Seat 5 : Dont7ry has $321.50
[Dec 8 22:25:10] : Seat 6 : otrill has $589
[Dec 8 22:25:10] : Seat 8 : tyson21 has $328.32
[Dec 8 22:25:10] : LucaBrasi is the dealer.
[Dec 8 22:25:10] : bklynkd posted small blind.
[Dec 8 22:25:11] : bluechip posted big blind.
[Dec 8 22:25:11] : Game [67352] started with 7 players.
[Dec 8 22:25:11] : Dealing Hole Cards.
[Dec 8 22:25:11] : Seat 1 : EatTheCat has Jc 9d 4c Kh
[Dec 8 22:25:14] : Dont7ry folded.
[Dec 8 22:25:18] : otrill folded.
[Dec 8 22:25:20] : tyson21 called $4
[Dec 8 22:25:21] : EatTheCat folded.
[Dec 8 22:25:21] : LucaBrasi called $4
[Dec 8 22:25:21] : bklynkd called $2
[Dec 8 22:25:23] : bluechip checked.
[Dec 8 22:25:24] : Dealing flop.
[Dec 8 22:25:24] : Board cards [5h 4d Js]
[Dec 8 22:25:30] : bklynkd bet $8
[Dec 8 22:25:35] : bluechip folded.
[Dec 8 22:25:42] : tyson21 called $8
[Dec 8 22:25:44] : LucaBrasi called $8
[Dec 8 22:25:44] : Dealing turn.
[Dec 8 22:25:44] : Board cards [5h 4d Js 3c]
[Dec 8 22:25:51] : bklynkd bet $16
[Dec 8 22:25:54] : tyson21 called $16
[Dec 8 22:25:55] : LucaBrasi called $16
[Dec 8 22:25:56] : Dealing river.
[Dec 8 22:25:56] : Board cards [5h 4d Js 3c Ah]
[Dec 8 22:26:04] : bklynkd bet $88
[Dec 8 22:26:18] : tyson21 has 10 seconds to respond.
[Dec 8 22:26:19] : tyson21 called $88
[Dec 8 22:26:23] : LucaBrasi called $88 and raised $52.25 and is All-in
[Dec 8 22:26:23] : Under-Raise rules are now in effect.
[Dec 8 22:26:24] : bklynkd called $34 and is All-in
[Dec 8 22:26:29] : tyson21 called $52.25
[Dec 8 22:26:29] : Showdown!
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : Seat 2 : LucaBrasi has 6d 7h 8h Ad
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : LucaBrasi has high hand : Straight 76543
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : LucaBrasi has low hand : 6543A
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : Seat 8 : tyson21 has 9s 2h Ks 4h
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : tyson21 has low hand : 5432A
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : tyson21 wins $18.14 with low hand : 5432A
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : LucaBrasi wins $18.14 with high hand : Straight 76543
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : Seat 2 : LucaBrasi has 6d 7h 8h Ad
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : LucaBrasi has high hand : Straight 76543
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : Seat 3 : bklynkd has 6h 2c Qc Qh
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : bklynkd has Straight 65432
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : Seat 8 : tyson21 has 9s 2h Ks 4h
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : tyson21 has low hand : 5432A
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : tyson21 wins $225.61 with low hand : 5432A
[Dec 8 22:26:30] : LucaBrasi wins $225.61 with high hand : Straight 76543
[Dec 8 22:26:45] : Hand is over.
With this hand I can see why I am running at -4PTBB/100 over 1K hands at 1/2 Tribeca and -11PTBB/100 over 400 hands at 2/4 Tribeca.
</end whining>
I am starting to wonder if I am good enough to beat this game. It is funny because I do this every time I am on a bad run, then I feel totally invincible when I am running good. Historically my winnings have always had a steady up climb then every 2-3 months I have a nasty drop, then it picks up again. This has happened 6 times where the drops are getting bigger since I am moving up, yet every time I start to question my self.
For some reasons getting it in with odds every time isn’t satisfying. Intellectually I can say that I have been playing well and getting it in good but that isn’t totally convincing. The next time I sit down at a table after a big loss (or a almost big win like today) and my first thought is "will it happen again?" My second though is always looking around the table at the regulars like Pred, Phil (when I could play Party), and Dave, and wonder if I am good enough to play with these people.
Like I said in a previous post I am sure that in some upcoming session I will have a 3 buy in win, and all these feelings will drift away until I start running bad again. You would think I would learn but apparently not.
Bonii:
FTP ($600): 233 / 600
BetUS ($300): 5903 / 37500
Trident ($200): 55 / 2000
Rhound - I got 2 outted in a $2000 pot last year, I have also broke a cup in half playing catcher. The feelings were similar.