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Outsmarting the Doom Switch - Live Poker Forums

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Outsmarting the Doom Switch

No matter what you play or where you play it, if you want to record your day by day poker exploits, this is the place!

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Postby geiststaat » Sun Dec 03, 2006 11:47 pm

Some great football games today, including a couple game winning kicks. BCS results out. Pretty much what I expected. Not a happy ending, but it rarely is in the BCS. Some day a playoff will be instated, and the best two teams will play on the field. I'm not saying Michigan is better than Florida, even though they are (I think). I'm just saying, it's hard to know who is better between these two teams, and that maybe having them play one another would be better than just picking. I don't know how long it's going to be before a playoff comes along, since aside from last year, there's always one team that gets screwed, and this repeating pattern hasn't pissed people off enough to result in a playoff. I will say that the BCS system is better than the old system. None of these top teams would have been playing each other in the old system. USC would have gone to the Rose Bowl and Texas to the Orange Bowl, and we'd just have to dream about a matchup between the two teams. Same situation for the previous year, Auburn would have gone to the Sugar Bowl. So yeah, it's better but still not satisfactory. Well enough about football.

Had a good day at the tables. No major mistakes ( I think). Was rolling really well for the first two sessions of the day, and number 3 was going well until I took AA up against KK. Just one of those hands. Not much I can do. He raises 5xbb, I'm in the SB w/ AA and pop it up, only he calls and the flop comes K-rag-rag, and that sick feeling comes over me. I check hoping that he has AK, he bets teh pot, I call. Turn is another rag, he pushes, I call. River is another K to give him quads. So much for hope. One might quibble with my play here, but I cannot fold this and no matter what I do, I'm losing.

In session number 1, I pick up a nice pot on the second hand. 3 limpers, I make it $3.50 from the SB with KK, one caller. Flop comes KK8r. I bet small hoping he has 88 or some other pair that he might raise to try and steal. He calls (oooooooo, maybe he has the 88!). Turn is 4 completing the rainbow, I bet $5 into a $13 pot and he pushes in w/ T9o. Thank you sir.

Session Stats:
#1
121 hands
$53.85

#2
95 hands
$40.36

#3
203 hands
-$3

I withdrew and recently redeposited 1K, so I picked up a $100 bonus, and the bankroll is over $1500. So, according to my strategy, I'm ready to start playing 100NL should I win 3 sessions in a row. I'm in the midst of writing an article on moving up levels that is aimed for amatuer players such as myself. Most of the advice I've come across is geared for professional and semi-professionals, and the amatuer player has a significantly different set of concerns; hence I don't think the advice is good for someone like me. Without going into it too much, if I'm willing to move up and down in levels then I don't have to worry much about going bust. Bankroll still matters, of course, but much less so. I'm working on quantifying this, but one of the bigger factors is comfort level, and that's difficult to quantify. The long and short of it is that I may not wait to win 3 consecutive sessions to give 100NL a shot. In fact, I think I'm going to move up if I win tomorrow at 50Nl and feel good about my play.

Current Bankroll: $1510
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Postby Sendachi » Mon Dec 04, 2006 11:26 am

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Postby geiststaat » Mon Dec 04, 2006 10:59 pm

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Postby geiststaat » Mon Dec 04, 2006 11:30 pm

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Postby geiststaat » Wed Dec 06, 2006 12:08 am

KK is quickly becoming the bane of my existence. Whether I have it or am up against it, lately I'm getting screwed, and not in a good way. First session of the day was pretty standard and I had a small win: 183 hands for $38.75. Second session, no good. Playing okay, but 2 hands made it into a big loser session: 217 hands for -$119.95.

First hand: I have AdAh OTB and 3rd position makes it $3, I pop to $10, and only 3rd pos calls.
Flop: Qc8d4d (pot 21.50)
He checks I bet $15, he calls

Turn: 5d (pot 41.50)
He checks, I push. Not sure why I do this. I'm really not; it's horrible. He calls with KdJd. Now I don't have him on the diamond draw at all. He raised preflop and called a big raise, and I have the Ad. I'm not mad about the flush; the push is just not going to win me much. He's folding everything I beat. I think he may have folded Kowboys even with the Kd, so not good. He will call, probably with a set. Maybe I push out a set, but I seriously doubt it. Flushes will obviously call. So, I push and only hands that beat me call and only those I have beat fold. Terrible. Teh hand cost me about $70. I berate myself for a couple hands, then finally I tell myself to get over it and just play my game, which actually worked. I played good poker until the last few hands.

I have KsQs in MP and it folds to me. I raise to $4 and the SB calls.

Flop: Ts7s5c ($9)
He checks and I bet $6. I considered just checking for the free card, but thought a bet might take it down. He calls.

Turn: Ad ($21)
He checks I bet $16, and he thinks for a bit and calls. I'm thinking he's drawing at the flush, but since he's calling this much into the pot; I'm starting to think that he has an overpair like JJ.

River: Ac ($53)
He checks. Okay, if he's drawing then all I need to do is bet and I'll win this, unless he has the As, but I would have expected a bet or raise or something on the turn. If he has JJ, then I need to bet something sizable to push him off the hand, as I obviously don't win the SD. If he has the smaller flush draw, I win with no bet; I just have to check. I decide that I can bluff him off JJ and maybe QQ or KK. I've played this pot thus far like I raised with A high. I made a weak c-bet and then a big bet on the turn when the A hit. I bet $35. He runs his timer down and finally calls with KK. So, burned by KK yet again, and yet again the guy has played the hand strangely; no raise preflop, no lead, no c/r on that board. The hand cost me $61. So $61 bluff. Had it worked, I would have made money for the session, but as it is, big loser. Sigh.....

Ended the session just pretty pissed. Not pissed at anyone or anything just in a foul mood. Losing money does that. I decided I needed something with low variance to just calm down and regroup, so one short session of limit .50/1, I played well, and the money came my way.
112 hands
$7.45

Thus far my venture to 100NL has gone quite poorly, but I'm only 4 sessions in and there is plenty of poker to be played. I wonder if I'm not trying a bit too hard, especially with my big pairs. I have gotten burned several times with the overpairs, so I'll use more caution tomorrow and see how that works. I'm playing well, and then along comes a mistake in a big pot to wipe out all my winnings. Maybe the money is fuking with my mind. I just need to shut out all the clutter and focus when I'm playing.
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Postby geiststaat » Wed Dec 06, 2006 5:08 pm

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Postby Danhdan » Wed Dec 06, 2006 5:23 pm

"Million dollar play, ten cent finish."

"My mind is a raging torrent, flooded with rivulets of thought cascading into a waterfall of creative alternatives."

"Laugh and the world stares at you; cry, and the world stares at you."
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Postby geiststaat » Fri Dec 08, 2006 12:17 am

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Postby geiststaat » Fri Dec 08, 2006 12:19 am

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Postby geiststaat » Sat Dec 09, 2006 12:54 am

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Postby geiststaat » Sat Dec 09, 2006 11:59 pm

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Postby geiststaat » Mon Dec 11, 2006 12:16 am

Sundays, however, have been good every time, and today was no different. Had a lot of hands to play today. Didn't play any huge pots really, just some betting and others folding on flop or turn, etc. Played only 2 sessions today, both at 50NL, which got me close to break even for 50NL for the week, though very much down for the week with the 100NL stint. Stats for the day:
#1
216 hands
79.30

#2
232 hands
13.20

Wanted to play a bit of limit tonight, but too tired for that. I have to proctor an exam tomorrow afternoon but then I'm done for the semester. I should probably get back to the dissertation at some point. Maybe I'll do that while proctoring tomorrow. What the hell do I care if they cheat? I care slightly I guess. I should prolly ask if it is open note or what. Anyway, back to 2 hands.

#1: I raise OTB to $2.50 and the BB calls. I've played quite a bit with BB and he hasn't made any donkey moves, so I think he has something decent here.
Flop: KT5r ($5.25)
He checks, I bet 4, he calls

Turn: 8 (11.25)
He checks, I bet 10, he calls

River blank (31.25)
He checks, I decide I must have the best hand here with all this passivity and bet 10, which he calls, showing me AA. Sort of irked here, but really glad he didn't get aggressive as this would have cost me a lot more. Had him on QJ, KQ, or KJ and thought the latter two would pay off my value bet. Edit: I had AK.

#2: haven't finished the orbit yet, as I'm in the BB. Folds to SB who completes; I have 88 and raise it to $2.50, he thinks for a bit then reraises to $7.75. Now, I hate this sort of stuff. Harrington refers to it as BSB play, or button, small blind, big blind. Basically what happens is everyone knows this is the time to steal the ante, but since everyone knows this there is a lot of restealing that goes on, but maybe someone actually has something, no one really knows. Since the guy just limped, I think he is trying to resteal here, perhpas with an A or JT, and I really don't want to see a flop against such a hand, so I push. I hadn't rebought from the AK hand, yet, so was playing with only $30 or so. He calls and shows me AA. I suck out an 8 on the turn. If I had had a full stack here, I prolly call the reraise but with no set on the flop, unless he decides to slow play again, I'm prolly folding, so being short stacked in this spot actually gave me a nice advantage.

All in all, an okay week. Lost money, but I think I learned some things that put me in a better position to play well in the future. I picked up a $90 reload bonus, so bankroll doesn't look as bad as my results were.

Current Bankroll: $1298
Last edited by geiststaat on Fri Jan 19, 2007 7:51 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Postby geiststaat » Mon Dec 11, 2006 11:49 pm

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Postby oatmealforxmas » Tue Dec 12, 2006 7:33 pm

[12:17] heat517163: i won 26k last month
[12:17] heat517163: and havent bought ANYTHING
[12:17] heat517163: not one thing
[12:17] heat517163: i almost bought a few shirts
[12:17] heat517163: but monicas like
[12:17] heat517163: "you dont need more clothes"
[12:17] heat517163: meh
[12:17] oatsforxmas: ha
[12:17] heat517163: wanted funny shirts
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Postby geiststaat » Tue Dec 12, 2006 11:15 pm

I think Roy prolly has hundreds of thousands of hands, so if you can win over that period you pretty much know you're good. This thought creeps in there from time to time mostly because I was only a marginal winner at UB over 14K hands at 25NL but a loser at 50NL, while a big winner at 25NL at Ongame over 15K hands. Which one is the real me? I've played a bit more now, particularly at Bodog, so it doesn't creep in as much. But yeah, run of bad sessions and it's only natural to question your ability.

Paid friends are the best. :)
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