Ice says he rarely sees AA vs KK at 6max. I agree. I rarely see it.

Until tongiht. I see AA vs KK 4 times in 110 hands. All 4 times it was all in preflop and 2 of the 4times both the KK and AA flopped a set. Whew

What are those odds?

Holy mother that is gonna be one ugly calculation. I'll leave that to someone erlse. I'm going to go out on a limb and say the answer is very very rarely.

thx to the guys in the other AA/KK/QQ thread for helping jog my probability memory.

odds of AA, KK at 6-max: C(4,2)/C(52,2) * C(4,2)/C(50,2) * P(6,2) = 1 in 1504
odds of AA, KK both flopping sets | AA, KK: C(2,1)/C(48,1) * C(2,1)/C(47,1) * P(3,2) = 1 in 94
so multiply those together to get the odds of AA, KK and both flopping a set: 1 in 141,379

and i guess what you're really asking is what are the odds of [AA, KK at a 6-handed table where both flop a set] happening at least twice in 110 hands.
i get 1 in 3.34M (using binomial stuff against the previous probabilities).

hopefully someone can dbl check that this makes sense.