Game #3295329644: Omaha H/L PL ($1/$2) - 2006/09/01 - 14:56:43 (ET)
Table "amesjones" Seat 8 is the button.
Seat 2: Grossebum ($280.43 in chips)
Seat 3: Mattspker ($255.90 in chips)
Seat 4: poledance sits out
Seat 5: TurtlSoup ($471.43 in chips)
Seat 6: Countwell ($173 in chips)
Seat 7: ozcanuck ($200.75 in chips)
Seat 8: filter12 ($93.50 in chips)
Seat 9: Apple1996 ($71 in chips)
Seat 10: udonthani ($276.09 in chips)
Apple1996: posts small blind $1
udonthani: posts big blind $2

----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to TurtlSoup
Grossebum: calls $2
Mattspker: folds
TurtlSoup: calls $2
Countwell: folds
ozcanuck: folds
filter12: folds
Apple1996: calls $1
udonthani: checks

----- FLOP -----
Apple1996: bets $2
udonthani: folds
Grossebum: folds
TurtlSoup: raises to $14
Apple1996: calls $12

----- TURN -----
Apple1996: bets $2
TurtlSoup: ???

Opponent was loose pre-flop, tightish pot flop, and overall passive.

I bet he has the nut low draw or a lower set, raise him!!

I put him on the nut low draw, which was technically correct because he had Ad 2d

The two main hands he could have are
1) Better flush (possibly with a low draw it doesn’t really matter)
2) Nut low draw (with some high that isn’t better then my high)

Better Flush
pokenum -o8 jc qc jd qd - ad 2d 6d 7d -- 3d 5d qh td
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 40 enumerated boards containing Td 5d 3d Qh
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
Qc Jc Qd Jd 10 10 30 0 0 0 0 0.250
Ad 7d 6d 2d 30 30 10 0 20 0 0 0.750

Nut low draw
pokenum -o8 jc qc jd qd - ac 2c 6c 7c -- 3d 5d qh td
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 40 enumerated boards containing Td 5d 3d Qh
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
Qc Jc Qd Jd 20 40 0 0 0 0 0 0.750
Ac 7c 6c 2c 0 0 40 0 20 0 0 0.250

He isn’t going to fold a better flush, but he may fold a nut low draw. I guess it comes down to percentages. What percentage of the time do you guys think he has each?