by Aisthesis » Mon Mar 20, 2006 11:57 pm
Yeah, I'm not sure whether my raising line isn't influenced by seeing the subsequent action here.
I agree that a flat call with big bet on a blank turn has a lot of flexibility--in addition to getting some dead money in there if anyone with less than made nuts folds.
Also, if you are getting freerolled, it's much better to get freerolled on a blank turn than on the flop. If they have JT with diamonds, they have 8 outs, so your equity probably isn't horrible on the turn. Something like AJT with no diamonds has fewer, and QQJT would have 9. But I really doubt these guys are that strong at the 25.
I also think laying down the nuts is also a bit of a deep-stack thing. If you're playing 25 and have $100 along with another tight player. You pot the nuts with no redraw and he raises you pot. If it's a LAG, I'll probably re-raise him back, but if it's a tight player, I'll seriously consider laying down at that point if I have no improvement chances. But on the improvement end, I might call to see the turn on something as thin as a runner-runner flush, since the turn will tell me if I have that redraw or not.
There are definitely situations where laying down the nuts is the best play, but I think you have to be pretty picky about them.