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PLO8 $25 - Pump the turn or let them in? - Live Poker Forums

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PLO8 $25 - Pump the turn or let them in?

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PLO8 $25 - Pump the turn or let them in?

Postby Stoneburg » Sun Jul 16, 2006 5:40 pm

Party Poker
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
9 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $29.61
UTG+1: $33.52
MP1: $34.99
MP2: $9.65
Hero: $24.50
CO: $4.42
Button: $21.75
SB: $22.55
BB: $25.16

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is MP3 with [As] [2s] [2h] [6h]
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 folds, Hero calls $0.25 (pot was $0.85), CO folds, Button raises to $0.5, SB calls, BB calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls $0.25 (pot was $2.75).

Flop: [6s] [Kh] [4c] ($3, 6 players)
SB checks, BB bets $0.25, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls $0.25 (pot was $3.75), Button calls, SB calls.

Turn: [9s] ($4.5, 6 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 bets $0.25, MP1 calls, Hero ???

That's just about the gayest bet I have ever seen on the turn. I figure my fold equity is pretty high but with a multiplayer pot, the nut flush draw and possibly the only nut low draw (since I have two deuces), is it more EV to just let them in and try to hit?
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Re: PLO8 $25 - Pump the turn or let them in?

Postby TomG » Sun Jul 16, 2006 9:35 pm

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Postby Felonius_Monk » Mon Jul 17, 2006 1:06 pm

The Monkman J[c]

"Informer, you no say daddy me snow me Ill go blame,
A licky boom boom down.
Detective mon said daddy me snow me stab someone down the lane,
A licky boom boom down." - Snow, 1993
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Postby Stoneburg » Mon Jul 17, 2006 2:44 pm

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Postby Kuso » Tue Jul 18, 2006 5:31 am

wwcrd?

"that basically sums up poker for me - 12" needle in the testicle." <nutkick> mvp
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Postby Stoneburg » Sun Jul 30, 2006 8:21 am

Well here is what the neighbourhood donks showed:

[9d] [8d] [4s] [3h] Raised preflop
[5h] [3d] [Qd] [4h] Minibet the flop
[Qc] [8c] [Qh] [2c] Minibet the turn
[Qs] [5d] [Ad] [Kd] Called all the way
[Ah] [3c] [9h] [Th] Called all the way


I have a pretty amazing 41.8% pot equity against that whole range of hands on the flop. On the turn it goes up to47.9%. My 6's obviously weren't good but the hand that is likely to call a flop raise is Q543 (and AT93?), who I am crushing, and I don't see anyone being able to call a turn raise.

Still... i wonder if it isn't more +EV to just call and hope to hit.
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Postby Felonius_Monk » Sun Jul 30, 2006 11:45 am

I wouldn't have thought so.
The Monkman J[c]

"Informer, you no say daddy me snow me Ill go blame,
A licky boom boom down.
Detective mon said daddy me snow me stab someone down the lane,
A licky boom boom down." - Snow, 1993
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