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Help me find some leaks

Postby GooperMC » Fri Sep 01, 2006 8:01 am

Here are my PTO stats for my first 2.5K hands after coming back compared to my PTO stats for my last 20K hands before that.

General
Image
Image

Position
Image
Image

Showdown
Image
Image

By Hand
BB/100 per hand since coming back
A2, A3, A23, 234: .5
A4, A5, 23: .1
AA2, AA3, A23: 0
AA + other low: 1.6
AA + high, KK, QQ: (.3)
High Wraps: (.2)

Last 20K BB/100 per hand
A2, A3, A23, 234: 1.1
A4, A5, 23:.1
AA2, AA3, A23: 5.3
AA + other low: 2.5
AA + high, KK, QQ: (.01)
High Wraps: .1

Edit: for spelling
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Postby GooperMC » Fri Sep 01, 2006 8:10 am

Major differences I am seeing:
- Lately I am playing more aggressive
- Lately I am playing more in position
- Lately I am winning a lot more pots

The thing that is confusing me is if I didn't have the BB/100 number in front of me I would say that my current game is "better" then I was playing in the past (I guess that is why PTO number can be deceptive).

My guess is that the results are tainted (the sample size is pretty small so it wouldn’t take much) by a couple of my donk calls / bets and getting 1/4 an ungodly amount of times. Also the fact that I am not making any money with AA2, AA3, AA23 can't be good for my overall winrate.

My strategy from here:
- Bring down the aggression just a little
- Try to bring up the W$SD a little
- Eliminate the really bad calls / bet.

These seem like minor tweaks, that shouldn't be too painful to do. What do you guys think?
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Postby Kuso » Fri Sep 01, 2006 8:30 am

why don't you filter the results for hands shown down rather than all hands?

that gives us a lot more valuable info, imo.


also, is this all FR? seems so, but i just wanted to ask.


my quick points:

- you seem a little tight. loosen up a bit in LP and MP.

- why are the 6 and 7 seat stats so wierd? it seems like you have LP VPIP and PFR numbers.

- why are you raising in the blinds so much?

- why aren't you raising first-in when in MP and LP a lot more?

- river aggression seems high.

- W$SD is fine for this sample.

- sample size is really small for a lot of the bb/100 stats and W$ stats.


hope this helps.
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Postby GooperMC » Sat Sep 02, 2006 9:43 am

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Postby Felonius_Monk » Sun Sep 03, 2006 5:38 am

I think you will receive approximately 0 useful pieces of info by posting this. Your raw stats for both periods seem pretty similar, give or take a few % here or there, 20k hands doesn't seem a particularly large sample and 2.3k hands is next to meaningless except for very straightforward things like VPIP and aggression. Anyways, you don't seem to be doing anything different according to the numbers but I don't know if you can read anything into that (in fact, I'd go so far as to say that you can't). You don't seem to play more hands in LP than you do in EP for either of your sample sets which seems a bit odd, though perhaps low and mid-limit PLO8 is the game where position is about the least important of any big-bet game, so it's perhaps not too troubling.

This is just a personal thing but I think except for VERY wide generalities (i.e. I'm playing too much in EP, I'm not playing enough hands PF, I'm running really bad) you can't read too much into PTO stats, I think its real personal analytical power is at its best in limit games, and for big-bet games you're better analysing individual hands street-by-street to look for any possible replicated errors.
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