by GodlikeRoy » Mon Aug 07, 2006 12:58 am
I would also go out on a ledge to say noone is a 4BB/100 winner at 2/4 and 3/6 playing online poker, especially playing 4 tables at once. That number is frighteningly good and unless you have 500,000 hands or so winning at that rate, noone will really believe it's sustainable.
Also, I read a post over at 2+2 where a respectable winner at LHE had a 1,500 BB downswing or so. He was a winner over hundreds of thousands of hands.
Think of it this way. If a 300 bet downswing is statistically possible, then is it not possible to have two of these swings back to back? Is it not possible to have two of THOSE swings back to back? Playing online and multi-tabling you will play so many hands that eventually you will run worse than you thought anyone else thought was possible.
That being said, to have a BR of 2,000+ BBs to be prepared for such swings is over the top. I'm not going to suggest a number of BBs to have, but I will say that whatever it is, if you are prepared to move down in stakes during a downswing (if that downswing threatens your roll) then you have the makings of good bankroll management.
Poker is silly.
It is not enough to be good at chess, you must also play well.
Somewhere in the world someone is training when you are not. When you race him, he will win.