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SSC in BB vs min-raise. Shortish stack.

Postby MTPaid » Wed Jan 31, 2007 1:55 am

We're already in the money at this point.

Blinds are 1000/2000 Ante 250

Seat 1: ME (23,723)
Seat 2: UTG (23,263)
Seat 4: UTG+1 (29,182)
Seat 5: MP (72,958)
Seat 6: CO (30,834)
Seat 7: Button (6,384)
Seat 9: SB (54,554)

UTG min-raises to 4000, CO calls, I have [7h][6h] and call getting about 6 to 1 here.

UTG's min-raise with a short stack SCREAMS AA/KK/QQ

[As][3h][Th] Pot $14750

I have 19473 left.
UTG+1 has 19013.
CO has 26584

What's the play?
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Postby hard2tel » Wed Jan 31, 2007 2:22 am

wow

Check and hope it gets checked around i guess. You have like no fold equity if u check/raise..I guess u can open push or bet and hope none of them have an A but i definately dont like that either. shitty spot..but dont think u have to put any more money in here just because u have the flush draw..check/folding is probably the best play.
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Postby Beavis68 » Wed Jan 31, 2007 8:40 am

check folding the best play? doesnt that depend on how much they bet?
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Postby hard2tel » Wed Jan 31, 2007 8:49 am

"But meh, what I lack for in talent and intelligence I make up for in lack of ambition." -- Oatmealforxmas

- make more than xaston and roy
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Postby KJo » Wed Jan 31, 2007 3:58 pm

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Postby MTPaid » Wed Jan 31, 2007 4:40 pm

Eli read my mind. If my chip stack were different I may have tried a different approach, but I figured here I had to gamble. I really don't have much left after check folding here and it may be my best chance to obtain a substantial stack.

H2T is right on about the fold equity of a c/r so that's not an option. My question is, how often do I need a fold, figuring I'm a 2-1 dog almost all the time except for the rare occasion I'm up against Ax of same suit, for this to be profitable?

I pushed. Original raiser took all his time and typed that he wished he could show me his KK before folding, then said nice bet. CO, unfortunately, had AQ. Then he started cursing when I rivered the [5h].
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
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Postby DonkiFornication » Wed Jan 31, 2007 5:02 pm

[Ts][Tc]
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Postby MTPaid » Thu Feb 01, 2007 7:34 pm

Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby KJo » Fri Feb 02, 2007 3:41 pm

[quote="MTPaid]
I think I'm open-pushing anything from a FD (9 outs) to OESD+FD (15 outs). If I pop 2 pair or trips, I'm c/r'ing all-in. OESD I'm not sure what I'm doing since I wouldn't really count overs as outs.[/quote]


First off if you'd push with a FD you should be even more likely to be pushing with an OESD, since the chance of your drawing outs being counterfeited is less likely. I'd open push with any draw, and possibly air if the board looked safe enough. I agree about the made hand- I'd more likely CR there.

Eli
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