[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 112: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 112: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 112: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 112: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 112: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 112: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 112: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/functions.php on line 4783: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at [ROOT]/includes/functions.php:3888)
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/functions.php on line 4785: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at [ROOT]/includes/functions.php:3888)
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/functions.php on line 4786: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at [ROOT]/includes/functions.php:3888)
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/functions.php on line 4787: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at [ROOT]/includes/functions.php:3888)
Critique this limit hand! Bluff the river? - Live Poker Forums

Advanced search

Critique this limit hand! Bluff the river?

Post your tough limit holdem hands here

Moderators: piersmajestyk, LPF Police Department

Critique this limit hand! Bluff the river?

Postby growlers » Tue Oct 30, 2007 11:32 pm

$4-8 1/2 kill.
I have [Kd] [6d] in the BB. Two limpers, and a preflop LAGgy but reasonable postflop guy raises the button. I call, limpers call. 4-way pot.

Flop: (4 handed)
[Th] [Jd] [Qs]

I check, limpers check, button bets, I call, one of the limpers (who is a passive calling station) calls.

Turn: (3 handed)
[5d]

I bet out, limper calls, button calls.

River: (8.5 BB, three handed)
[2s]

I ?????

Critique all streets please.
User avatar
growlers
 
Posts: 483
Joined: Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:14 am
Location: Las Vegas

Postby redhouse » Tue Oct 30, 2007 11:57 pm

I hate the turn lead, especially since its three handed. The fold equity of taking the lead is pretty low and its an expensive bluff if you run it all the way. With all the draws out there and a station involved you pretty much know you're going to get calls and you have no idea what they mean. That is whether they're draws or just weak one pair hands. You have a ton of outs so its not horrible equity wise if you get raised three way, but it does sting if you get raised HU. You also sacrifice the ability to check raise if the diamonds get there.

River - having got two callers, you're basically betting on both of them having whiffed on draws since they're not folding anything made in a large pot. Then again you can argue the odds make it worth a try... i just dont think itll work the 10+% of the time required to make it profitable, esp since you have some of the cards drawing hands would.
Mekos King: existence without running good
Mekos King: truly has no purpose
User avatar
redhouse
 
Posts: 1583
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2005 1:21 am
Location: Stanford, CA

Postby antneye » Wed Oct 31, 2007 5:59 am

I am pretty much on board with Red here. You are not bluffing this river oop 3-way and getting away with it.

I dont like the pre-flop call or the turn bet either.
User avatar
antneye
 
Posts: 2216
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 5:23 am
Location: New York

Postby growlers » Wed Oct 31, 2007 12:07 pm

User avatar
growlers
 
Posts: 483
Joined: Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:14 am
Location: Las Vegas

Postby antneye » Wed Oct 31, 2007 1:40 pm

User avatar
antneye
 
Posts: 2216
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 5:23 am
Location: New York

Postby growlers » Wed Oct 31, 2007 4:00 pm

User avatar
growlers
 
Posts: 483
Joined: Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:14 am
Location: Las Vegas

Postby bigwheell » Thu Nov 01, 2007 1:35 am

I will call here PF most of the time here. I would have in this hand.

I would have check called the turn and folded the river unimproved. I don't like the turn lead either as the flop sits in the limp/calling range of just about everyone that plays limit and I don't see how the turn lead it is going to get anyone off their hand...

I don't see the bluff working with this hand as the flop will hit most hands enough to give their owners enough perceived showdown value for them to fold.

Either of the hands you are drawing to could be second best hands at showdown, or you could be looking at a chop with another K, but with the turn card, I think it is strong enough to get to showdown as cheap as possible...

This leads us back to preflop, and maybe you should have folded preflop as the hand is just too marginal to see a flop even with 7.5-1
User avatar
bigwheell
 
Posts: 311
Joined: Fri May 25, 2007 10:14 pm
Location: ND

Postby Beavis68 » Thu Nov 01, 2007 10:57 am

is check raising the flop horrible here? I may do that to clean up some outs.
User avatar
Beavis68
 
Posts: 3568
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:43 pm
Location: double secret probation

Postby MTPaid » Thu Nov 01, 2007 12:41 pm

Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
User avatar
MTPaid
 
Posts: 3681
Joined: Mon Aug 01, 2005 10:42 am
Location: New Jersey

Postby redhouse » Thu Nov 01, 2007 4:33 pm

Mekos King: existence without running good
Mekos King: truly has no purpose
User avatar
redhouse
 
Posts: 1583
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2005 1:21 am
Location: Stanford, CA

Postby growlers » Thu Nov 01, 2007 5:13 pm

I call all day long here with most any two suited, any pair, any two broadway and any nongapped unsuited connectors in a live game with players that are easily exploitable. I wonder if those criteria are too loose, but folding K6s here is not going to happen (sorry, ant).

I think CRing the flop might be a good idea, increases my fold equity on later streets, although I wasn't in love with the hand until the second flush card came increasing my outs. You also have to worry about AK a little here after a preflop raise which of course would be a disaster.

I led the turn because I like to lead with big draws in general - because I feel like if I check/call and then hit and lead the river I won't get as many calls. I also don't like to have the image that I only lead with a made hand and only C/C with a draw. I like to mix things up here, and it is not a disaster if I get raised since I have so many outs. That would also make a bigger pot which makes for more river calls if I hit.

The river went check check check and I showed first, the CS mucked (so had a worse draw I guess) and then the PFR showed 99.
User avatar
growlers
 
Posts: 483
Joined: Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:14 am
Location: Las Vegas

Postby antneye » Thu Nov 01, 2007 5:15 pm

bah!!!!!!!!!!!
User avatar
antneye
 
Posts: 2216
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 5:23 am
Location: New York

Postby Derf » Tue Nov 06, 2007 10:21 am

Growlers:

I agree with your preflop call. I have never met Antneye, but I bet he squeaks when he walks :D

I initially hated you turn bet...and I am not completely convinced that it good, b/c I don't think you have much if any fold equity. But I ran some math, and as long as you have 2 callers on the turn, you are probably not losing anything on that bet..and perhaps gaining a small bit. One key here is that you have the calling station between you and the aggressor so it is likley that you are ok even if the button raises..as it will still be 3 way. However, put the calling station on the other side of the preflop aggressor, and your turn bet is yucky.

And even still, if the calling station calls and the button folds to the turn bet...you are sad. A little bit of folding equity on the bet would help, but I don't see much on that board. I guess you are arguing that if there is a small cost associated with the bet on the turn, you make up for it with more calls when you hit on the river and/or you are now more unpredictable on future hands. So, I am not necessarily convinced, but I no longer view the turn bet as completely awful. :D

--Fred
User avatar
Derf
 
Posts: 166
Joined: Mon Nov 22, 2004 2:19 pm

Postby antneye » Tue Nov 06, 2007 11:00 am

User avatar
antneye
 
Posts: 2216
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 5:23 am
Location: New York

Postby woody » Tue Nov 06, 2007 12:54 pm

Preflop, [Kd] [6d] is good enough to call a raise in the big blind.

On the turn, I would probably just check call, but I think that the turn lead is OK. You have as many as 15 outs, although some may be to a split pot, so as long as two people call you probably have enough pot equity to make the bet worthwhile, even if it gets reraised behind you. With the board as coordinated as it is, I don't think that a bet will fold all of your opponents. As it turned out since you didn't get raised, it probably didn't matter if you lead out or check called the result would be the same.

On the river, since the draw missed, I would check fold. With that board, I don't think that you can bet and get your opponents to fold the required percentage to make a bet worthwhile.
User avatar
woody
 
Posts: 625
Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2005 6:34 pm


Return to Limit Hold'em Cash Games

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 0 guests

cron