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Doubles up 3x in a row as 4 to 1 dog. - Live Poker Forums

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Doubles up 3x in a row as 4 to 1 dog.

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Doubles up 3x in a row as 4 to 1 dog.

Postby MTPaid » Sat Nov 24, 2007 3:08 pm

So fishy sits down with $20 on a $50NL table and has already lost 1/2 his stack. He's running 55/8 w/ 35 WTSD. I feel sorry for him and decide to double him up.

$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
8 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($44.50)
UTG+1 ($51.65)
MP1 ($31.30)
MP2 ($26.30)
Hero ($47.00)
BTN ($27.50)
SB ($11.60)
BB ($106.70)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 8 players) Hero is CO [8s][Ad]
1 fold, MP1 says "72 WOW" ($0.00), 2 folds, MP1 says "nh" ($0.00), 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.75 ($45.25), 1 fold, SB calls $1.5 ($9.85), BB calls $1.25 ($104.95)
ImageImage 70.00% (EV = $1.92)
ImageImage 30.00% (EV = -$0.17)

Flop: [3d][8c][6h] ($5.25, 3 players)
SB bets $5 ($4.85), 1 fold, Hero raises to $10 ($35.25), SB goes all-in $4.85 ($0.00)
ImageImage 84.00% (EV = $10.96)
ImageImage 16.00% (EV = -$5.86)

Turn: [Qc] ($24.95, 2 players)
ImageImage 93.20% (EV = $23.25)
ImageImage 6.80% (EV = $1.70)

River: [9s] ($24.95, 2 players)
ImageImage 0.00% (EV = $0.00)
ImageImage 100.00% (EV = $24.95)

Final Pot: $24.95
Hero shows: [8s][Ad]
SB shows: [8h][9d]

Hero wins $0.15 ( lost -$11.6 )
SB wins $23.75 ( won +$12.15 )
BB lost -$1.75

Ya know what really sucks though? Getting him in 2 hands later as a huge favorite and doubling him up again WITH MY OWN MONEY!
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
7 players
Converted at

Stacks:
Hero ($50.00)
UTG+1 ($15.35)
MP ($27.50)
CO ($23.75)
BTN ($104.45)
SB ($51.15)
BB ($32.25)
[UTG+1 posted $0.75]

Pre-flop: ($1.5, 7 players) Hero is UTG [Ac][Ah]
Hero raises to $2.25, 2 folds, CO raises to $4, 3 folds, Hero raises to $13, CO goes all-in $23.75, Hero calls $10.75
ImageImage 82.20% (EV = $16.53)
ImageImage 17.80% (EV = -$15.03)

Flop: [Kd][Qs][6d] ($49, 2 players)
ImageImage 10.50% (EV = $5.14)
ImageImage 89.50% (EV = $43.86)

Turn: [9h] ($49, 2 players)
ImageImage 4.50% (EV = $2.21)
ImageImage 95.50% (EV = $46.79)

River: [5h] ($49, 2 players)
ImageImage 0.00% (EV = $0.00)
ImageImage 100.00% (EV = $49.00)

Final Pot: $49
Hero shows: [Ac][Ah]
CO shows: [Qc][Qh]

CO wins $46.55 ( won +$22.8 )
Hero lost -$23.75

One orbit later, thank GOD this wasn't against me, but he's got his luckbox working overtime.
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($49.50)
UTG+1 ($29.95)
MP1 ($45.95)
MP2 ($98.95)
MP3 ($49.50)
CO ($52.30)
BTN ($30.75)
SB ($20.20)
Hero ($49.20)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 9 players) Hero is BB [8d][5s]
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.5, MP2 raises to $1.5, 1 fold, CO calls $1.5, 2 folds, Hero folds, MP1 raises to $5, MP2 goes all-in $98.95, CO folds, MP1 goes all-in $40.95
ImageImage 15.00% (EV = $13.62)
ImageImage 18.00% (EV = -$29.18)
ImageImage 67.10% (EV = -$0.88)

Flop: [3h][3s][3d] ($94.15, 2 players)
ImageImage 8.30% (EV = $7.73)
ImageImage 91.70% (EV = $134.02)

Turn: [Ks] ($94.15, 2 players)
ImageImage 93.20% (EV = $86.82)
ImageImage 6.80% (EV = $9.94)

River: [4s] ($94.15, 2 players)
ImageImage 100.00% (EV = $93.15)
ImageImage 0.00% (EV = $0.00)

Final Pot: $94.15
MP1 shows: [Kc][Kh]
MP2 shows: [Ad][Ah]

MP1 wins $91.15 ( won +$45.2 )
MP2 wins $53 ( lost -$45.95 )
CO lost -$1.50

So finally they found a way to beat him. A guy with a higher VP$IP bet into his PFR, then pushed [Ad][Td] on [8c][4s][9h] board. Our luckbox actually had QQ and was now the 4 to 1 favorite for the 1st time when he called. Ship the [Ah] on the turn.

But he got it back when he called a PFR w/ Q6s and flopped 2 pair vs AQs a few hands later.

Then finally, just to see if he would because there was no bet or raise that he was folding to, and he almost did call.
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
8 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($76.45)
UTG+1 ($88.80)
MP1 ($40.25)
MP2 ($54.85)
CO ($17.70)
BTN ($30.20)
Hero ($50.30)
BB ($29.20)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 8 players) Hero is SB [Kd][Ks]
UTG calls $0.5 ($75.95), 1 fold, Hero says "you should leave now" ($50.05), 3 folds, BTN calls $0.5 ($29.70), CO says "such bad luck I am having" ($17.70), Hero goes all-in $50.3 ($0.00), 1 fold, UTG folds ($75.95), BTN folds ($29.70)

Final Pot: $2

Hero wins $51.8 ( won +$1.5 )
BTN lost -$0.50
UTG lost -$0.50

I swear he took his entire time and after the hand:
UTG said, "i had a hand"

Probably A2. He was so close to calling.
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Postby RedBarracuda » Tue Nov 27, 2007 9:30 pm

you should really start looking for spots where you're a 4-1 dog in order to put your money in... it just seems this site works like that :D
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Postby MTPaid » Thu Nov 29, 2007 3:37 pm

Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Location: New Jersey

Postby Pok 7's » Thu Nov 29, 2007 7:17 pm

Tough call on the last hand to either get it all in PF or rasie it to $25 and get teh rest in on the flop. :)
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Postby MTPaid » Sun Dec 02, 2007 1:31 pm

Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Location: New Jersey


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