BTW, I hope it is okay to post live games here too.
The venue is the Aladdin poker room, at the $100 buyin NL with $1/$2 blinds.
I am UTG+1 with [Kd]. The UTG player, who seems to be solid and who has about $120, makes it $7 to go. I have about $90. The players behind me are of the looser type who I know have no problems calling $7 with less than premium hands but will respect me if I reraise. I decide to make it $15 straight to try to get the pot heads-up in this situation. Is this a good play?
Everyone else folds and the UTG raiser smooth-calls when it is his turn. The pot is $30. The flop comes [Js][Ts]. The UTG player checks it without much hesitation. I lead out and bet $25 from my remaining $65. Is this a good bet here with all the possible draws?
The UTG player now check-raises me the minimum to $50. AA, AQ, and JJ are ahead of me here. KK is unlikely statistically and he is too solid to be raising UTG with TT or JT. We could also have the same hand. The regular going rate for a raise at the table had been $12, so his initial $7 bet seemed strange to me.
What do other players consider/do here? I think it's obvious that a call is out of the question (meaning the only two options are all-in/fold because I'm putting all but $15 of my stack in if I call). But it seems more likely to me that this player would make this play only when I am beat.