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Postby Cooper » Sun Feb 03, 2008 4:47 pm

Image

What is going on ? It actually LOOKS like an EV curve this time ? A new trend ? Does this mean I can expect to actually win the showdowns I am supposed to this month ? With my standards this graph = Running insanely hot.
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Postby Cooper » Mon Feb 04, 2008 5:31 pm

Not bad + 1K$

If he had had J9 I would have jumped a window....LOL@idiots:

Texas Hold'em $6-$12 NL (real money), hand #P4-59990304-77
Table __2CooL__'s HE, 4 Feb 2008 11:21 PM ET

Seat 1: Bslickx [ 9D,9S ] ($733.50 in chips)
Seat 3: __2CooL__ ($676.25 in chips)
Seat 6: josef1908 ($286.75 in chips)
Seat 7: -Basshunter- ($683.00 in chips)
Seat 8: KamikAce82 ($758.80 in chips)
Seat 10: g.bushripper ($511.50 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
KamikAce82 posts blind ($3), g.bushripper posts blind ($6).

PRE-FLOP
Bslickx bets $21, __2CooL__ folds, josef1908 folds, -Basshunter- calls $21, KamikAce82 folds, g.bushripper calls $15.

FLOP [board cards 5D,7H,8D ]
g.bushripper checks, Bslickx bets $51, -Basshunter- folds, g.bushripper calls $51.

TURN [board cards 5D,7H,8D,10C ]
g.bushripper checks, Bslickx checks.

RIVER [board cards 5D,7H,8D,10C,6S ]
g.bushripper bets $50, Bslickx bets $200, g.bushripper bets $389.50 and is all-in, Bslickx calls $239.50.

SHOWDOWN
g.bushripper shows [ 4D,10D ]
Bslickx shows [ 9D,9S ]
Bslickx wins $1,044.

SUMMARY
Dealer: -Basshunter-
Pot: $1,047, (including rake: $3)
Bslickx bets $511.50, collects $1,044, net $532.50
__2CooL__ loses $0
josef1908 loses $0
-Basshunter- loses $21
KamikAce82 loses $3
g.bushripper loses $511.50


I thought this guy was solid, I guess he lost it:

Texas Hold'em $6-$12 NL (real money), hand #P4-59973093-323
Table Pittsfield, 4 Feb 2008 10:59 PM ET

Seat 3: Bslickx [ AC,KC ] ($589.80 in chips)
Seat 8: addada ($404.25 in chips)
Seat 9: MISERY75 ($591.70 in chips)
Seat 10: KingKingy ($816.30 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
Bslickx posts blind ($3), addada posts blind ($6).

PRE-FLOP
MISERY75 folds, KingKingy bets $20, Bslickx bets $68, addada folds, KingKingy bets $200, Bslickx bets $518.80 and is all-in, KingKingy calls $369.80.

FLOP [board cards 7C,4D,7D ]

TURN [board cards 7C,4D,7D,JC ]

RIVER [board cards 7C,4D,7D,JC,KS ]

SHOWDOWN
Bslickx shows [ AC,KC ]
KingKingy shows [ 10H,AS ]
Bslickx wins $1,183.60.

SUMMARY
Dealer: KingKingy
Pot: $1,185.60, (including rake: $2)
Bslickx bets $589.80, collects $1,183.60, net $593.80
addada loses $6
MISERY75 loses $0
KingKingy loses $589.80
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Postby Cooper » Tue Feb 05, 2008 5:22 pm

Poker is easy.

Image

When things are going your way. 5 days and already a 5K month :D Running +800$ over all in EV so far for this month. All is looking good.
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Postby Semillon » Tue Feb 05, 2008 5:41 pm

Nihan sir.
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Postby RedBarracuda » Tue Feb 05, 2008 5:45 pm

It's interesting how the results usually start changing with the 1st of the next month..
Image
(6:35:48 PM) giantgrwth: I once beat up an attempted murderer, 25% true story
(6:35:59 PM) hard2tel45s: boxing?
(6:36:06 PM) giantgrwth: Yea
(6:36:14 PM) hard2tel45s: sweet
(6:36:30 PM) giantgrwth: He was my best friend too, lol
(6:36:48 PM) hard2tel45s: well u were in the crazy bin bro
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Postby Cooper » Wed Feb 06, 2008 2:56 am

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Postby Cooper » Wed Feb 06, 2008 5:29 pm

Ship it ! Wait.... what ?..

Texas Hold'em $4-$8 NL (real money), hand #P4-60115559-652
Table Fort Smith, 6 Feb 2008 10:43 PM ET

Seat 2: DaddyFishman ($36.60 in chips)
Seat 4: iLieUnow ($516.30 in chips)
Seat 5: maaandy ($901.50 in chips)
Seat 7: thewaffler ($378.00 in chips)
Seat 9: Bslickx [ 8C,8D ] ($398.90 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
maaandy posts blind ($2), thewaffler posts blind ($4).

PRE-FLOP
Bslickx bets $16, DaddyFishman folds, iLieUnow folds, maaandy calls $14, thewaffler folds.

FLOP [board cards 3C,8S,QD ]
maaandy checks, Bslickx bets $26, maaandy calls $26.

TURN [board cards 3C,8S,QD,QC ]
maaandy checks, Bslickx bets $65, maaandy calls $65.

RIVER [board cards 3C,8S,QD,QC,2H ]
maaandy bets $100, Bslickx bets $291.90 and is all-in, maaandy calls $191.90.

SHOWDOWN
Bslickx shows [ 8C,8D ]
maaandy shows [ QH,3H ]
maaandy wins $798.80.

SUMMARY
Dealer: iLieUnow
Pot: $801.80, (including rake: $3)
DaddyFishman loses $0
iLieUnow loses $0
maaandy bets $398.90, collects $798.80, net $399.90
thewaffler loses $4
Bslickx loses $398.90





Texas Hold'em $6-$12 NL (real money), hand #P4-60145693-119
Table Pittsfield, 6 Feb 2008 11:23 PM ET

Seat 1: RealSoftice ($613.70 in chips)
Seat 2: Awes0meMan ($1,114.30 in chips)
Seat 3: Bslickx [ AH,AS ] ($843.35 in chips)
Seat 4: Karin7 ($486.00 in chips)
Seat 9: Mr_Satan1 ($435.80 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
Mr_Satan1 posts blind ($3), RealSoftice posts blind ($6).

PRE-FLOP
Awes0meMan folds, Bslickx bets $21, Karin7 calls $21, Mr_Satan1 folds, RealSoftice folds.

FLOP [board cards QH,KC,3C ]
Bslickx bets $41, Karin7 bets $89, Bslickx bets $781.35 and is all-in, Karin7 calls $376 and is all-in.

TURN [board cards QH,KC,3C,5H ]

RIVER [board cards QH,KC,3C,5H,4C ]

SHOWDOWN
Bslickx shows [ AH,AS ]
Karin7 shows [ KD,3D ]
Bslickx wins $357.35, Karin7 wins $978.

SUMMARY
Dealer: Karin7
Pot: $1,338.35, (including rake: $3)
RealSoftice loses $6
Awes0meMan loses $0
Bslickx bets $843.35, collects $357.35, net $-486
Karin7 bets $486, collects $978, net $492
Mr_Satan1 loses $3

Ran bad today, 1K under EV for the day, Lost 1K$ in total too. I am however running exactly on EV for february now so at least if feels fair this month.

BR 31K (incl RB for jan)
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Postby Cooper » Thu Feb 07, 2008 5:24 pm

I'm soon giving this crap up, I'm so frustrated by Ongame's RNG I can't continue playing. I had 4 all in hands today and lost them all. Running 2500$ worse than EV all in in one day is so ridiculous I can't even describe how frustrating it is.

I got into a few marginal situations today with coinflips, except for that I played ok in my other hands and ended the session -2000$, at least it would have been a breakeven session if I had won my fair share, but IT OBVIOUSLY IS NOT GOING TO HAPPEN AT ONGAME.

I'm not going to start calling sites rigged but it is weird how I can month, after month, after month (since October) lose so many more showdowns than I am due to win. Each of these month I have been running 2000-7000$ worse than EV on my all ins.

February started ok but after today I am sure it's giong to be another bad beat of a month...

Image






I dont even know what to say about this, I see people pusing with AQ,AJ enough to call an all in with AKo I guess, I think I played it ok:

$5/$10 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($2158.25)
CO ($1193.00)
BTN ($1061.00)
SB ($1240.00)
Hero ($980.00)

Pre-flop: ($15, 5 players) Hero is BB [Ah][Ks]
1 fold, CO bets $30, 2 folds, Hero bets $125, CO goes all-in $1163, Hero goes all-in $845

Flop: [7s][6s][Ts] ($2178, 2 players)

Turn: [5c] ($2178, 2 players)

River: [8d] ($2178, 2 players)

Final Pot: $2178
Hero shows: [Ah][Ks]
CO shows: [3d][3s]

CO wins $2175 ( won $982 )
Hero lost -$980.00

Same guy one round later:

$5/$10 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($2205.25)
CO ($2157.00)
BTN ($1000.00)
SB ($1566.00)
Hero ($1071.00)

Pre-flop: ($15, 5 players) Hero is BB [As][Qd]
1 fold, CO bets $30, 2 folds, Hero bets $125, CO bets $350, Hero goes all-in $936, CO bets $1382.

Flop: [9s][2c][6d] ($2838, 2 players)

Turn: [4c] ($2838, 2 players)

River: [Tc] ($2838, 2 players)

Final Pot: $2838
Hero shows: [As][Qd]
CO shows: [Ks][Kd]

CO wins $2835 ( won $1073 )
Hero lost -$1071.00




2 outered of course:

$3/$6 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($2892.05)
CO ($329.30)
Hero ($570.00)
SB ($1952.50)
BB ($534.95)

Pre-flop: ($9, 5 players) Hero is BTN [Ad][Qh]
2 folds, Hero bets $21, SB bets $43, 1 fold, Hero calls $25.

Flop: [7s][Ac][Qc] ($98, 2 players)
SB bets $77, Hero bets $175, SB goes all-in $1829.50, Hero goes all-in $349

Turn: [Kc] ($2528.5, 2 players)

River: [3s] ($2528.5, 2 players)

Final Pot: $2528.50
Hero shows: [Ad][Qh]
SB shows: [Kh][Ah]

SB wins $2525.5 ( won $573 )
Hero lost -$570.00

This graph tilts me, 2008 All in EV:
Image
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Postby Semillon » Thu Feb 07, 2008 5:27 pm

Seriously mate, run hotter please.

PS: Are you sure these graphing/logging tools are accurate?
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Postby Cooper » Thu Feb 07, 2008 5:50 pm

It should be accurate for all ins, for example the hands above from today would split up into:

1, Should have lost 55, lost 980 (930 worse than EV)
2. Should have lost 490, lost 1070 (480 worse than EV)
3. Should have won 330, lost 570 (900 worse than EV)

Only there is 2300$ worse than EV which is consistent with what PokerEV says. If I only had ran on EV today I would be up +500 instead of down 2k :twisted:
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Postby Cooper » Fri Feb 08, 2008 4:00 am

It's funny because I'm not getting coolered that much anymore, meaning I stopped getting AK against KK/AA every damn time etc. I am getting decent cards and hitting quite a few of flops but EVERY time I get it all in when there is a street or 2 to come THEY HIT IT !.

And it's not even like they hit it every now and then, they hit it in runs, over and over again without any breaks where I win, I hardly believe it myself anymore. I almost cried with joy when my KK held up against TT on a 688 board in a 800$ pot this morning, all in on flop. But this was on Cake and none of the shit I see at Ongame ever happens there so I won. I promise they would have turned/rivered set against me on Ongame.

I am used to this bad beat stretches happening over a week or so but usually it turns around and I go on a heater for a week and my EV curve swings back. Now I have 5 weeks of constantly running bad EV wise and I'm getting sick of it.

I ran the above graph in my simulation (simulating 200 hands of coinflips at $400), obviously the chance of running this bad over 200 hands is 1/40 or 2.5% so I guess it happens. This will be an interesting month I'm sure.
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Postby SCFanatiker » Fri Feb 08, 2008 4:50 pm

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Postby MVPSPORTS » Fri Feb 08, 2008 9:32 pm

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Postby Triple B » Fri Feb 08, 2008 10:14 pm

Villain: Why?
Villain: How?
Me: I had a feeling
Villian: Sit in you cretin
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Postby Cooper » Sat Feb 09, 2008 1:42 am

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