I stand corrected. A share is 5%.

Quick update

I played 405 hands today and won $841.80 making the total stake profit $1450.55

I got sucked out as a 10-1 fav for a $500 pot at FTP, but still had a short, but nicely profitable session. The players there suck. At least they have the last 2 nights.

Total win rate at 5/10 is now 7.7 BB / 100 hands. Im a happy camper

Ice,

did you set your goal at 10bb/100 or 10PTBB/100.

Just curious...nice to hear you are doing well.

AlexMR.

Alex,

I am pretty sure that Ice set the goal at 10bb/100 which would be 5PTBB/100.

Yeah, 10PTBBs is impossible at these stakes. Theres no played with any significant number of hands winning at that rate that I know of.

My original goal was 7BBs. That was an educated guess based on several factors including a good friend of mines win rate, looking at his database and seeing other players win rates, and my small amount of play at that level.

After playing for 3 weeks now, Ive increased my goal to 10BBs and Im very confident I can hit that rate longterm. I would be well over it right now if it wasnt for that monster hand I got outdrawn on. One huge hand can have a big effect even after alot of hands.

For some reason, there were no 5/10 tables available at Prima today. I played at FTP and Party this morning, and this evening I started to play at Party, but Im exhuausted so I only played a few hands.

I played a total of only 192 hands today, but still managed a $1177.25 profit.

My $5/$10 win rate is now 9.4 BB/ 100 hands.

The total stake profit is $2627.80, so each share has a $131.39 profit.

I was going to play at FTP tonight, but as I was on the waiting list I won about $350 at Party after 25 hands and decided to call it a night. My son just started 1st grade and I have to get up at 7am every morning to take him to school, so the late night playing is going to have to be curtailed a bit. Im beat.

I did get to watch Phil Ivey playing heads up and then 3 handed 50/100 NL. I watched for about 15 min and saw him win $16K. Yikes!

Playing Ivey heads up just cant possibly be +EV, although the chunk of his winnings came on an all in in one hand. He had a gutshot and a flush draw (and 2 overcards). The other guy had a flopped str8 but Ivey hit the flush.

I hit a little bump in the road this morning. I had REALLY bad cards and missed everything when I played. I did make a couple good plays which kept me from getting masacred. I played about 450 hands and lost $460.90

Heres one hand......

I open raise on the button to $40 with AJ. BB calls.
Pot is $85. Flop 732. He checks and I bet $75. He calls.
Pot is $235. Turn is another 7..Check / check
Pot still $235. River is a Q. He bets $65...I raise to $225 and he folds.

Same villian here

1 limper, then I limp on the button with 44. Villain raises to $45. Limper calls and I call
Pot is $140. Flop Q73. Villain checks, limper checks, I bet $100 and take it down.

This is why you need to make continuation bets. If he bets his AK or TT or whatever he has, I fold.

Paul Wolfe was at my table for 89 hands at FTP. I dont know who the hell he is and Im not impressed with his play. Ive heard hes a good tourney player. Maybe he is, but his cash games skills for the capped buy in online games is poor.

He raised about 15% of his hands. I never got into a hand with him but wanted to. I called a couple of his raises with pairs but missed and folded.

Heres one of his hands

He open raises to $35, cutoff, button and BB call.
Pot is $145. Flop comes [2c][8h]. BB checks, Wolfe bets $145. He always best pot if he hits something. Cutoff min raises to $290 and only has another$100 left. BB pushes to total of $360. Wolfe calls and cutoff calls.

Pot is $1225. Turn is . Wolfe puts cutoff all in for $100.

Wolfe has A8....Cutoff has QQ...BB has [4c]

A8? And he took that much heat? Bad bad bad. QQ won it.

I played a short session this evening and won back most of what I lost this morning.

Total for the day....610 hands....-$74

I got no cards tonight, but made several successful bluffs to stay afloat.
I played another pro at FTP. Another one Ive never heard of. Suhleafs tells me hes made a WSOP final table. David Grey is his name. Just like Wolfe, he raises too much and thinks he can push us amatuers around.

I played one hand against him. He open raised to $35, which he had done several time already. I reraised to $110 in the BB with AT. He called. Damn!

Pot $225. Flop [4c][4d]. I bet $150 and he calls. Damn!
Pot $525. Turn . He has $700 left and I cover him. I push with no club. He folds. Whoever said I was weak tight hasnt seen the new and improved icey play

I made several other bluffs and got away with all of them.


Total $5/$10 win rate is now 7.9 BB / 100 hands

Win rates of my opponents ranked by most hands played against

4.02
-0.80
10.5
30.7
27.0
-27.0
-23.4
0.50
-19.2
12.5

Pretty wide range here

David Grey seems to be a decent tourney player and made the WSOP final table in 2003 but he was the first out, knocked out by moneymaker i think. Not sure how good he is but he seems like a real nice and funny guy. It seems to be a trend running with the pros that they raise too much and try to push people around.

Alot of the pros play low stakes like $100NL just for publicity for the site. Ive played a couple of them down there and it was pretty obvious that they were just screwing around, but I really think they are trying to won at $5/$10NL. I know Wolfe is becasue Ive watched him before and he does win alot.

Those stats are for all hands since I started the $5/$10 database. The guys at the top of the list have 2000 hands or so. The guy with 30.7BBs, did stack me with KKK vs JJJ. Hes a good player but has had an abnornmally large amount of big hands hes won. I asked him the other day if he ever gets outdrawn because Ive yet to see it happen.

The guy who came in 14th in the WSOP is still at -23.4 BBs

Theres are "true win rates" not PTBBs.

Here are some detailed stats for anyone interested.

Total win rate at $5/$10...........9.5 BB / 100 hands
Prima........................................9.3BB / 100 hands
FTP...........................................37.0 BB/ 100 hands (not that many hands)
Party.........................................4.9 BB / 100 hands

VIP....15.3%
SB.....27.62%
Att to steal blinds 12.36%
WSF.......43.64%
Went toSD......18.84%
WSD........68.36%
Preflop raise 4.3%

Aggression numbers

Flop....4.71
Turn....3.78
River...2.07

Total...3.92

Bet or raised flop after I raised preflop....77%
SD....31.16 BB / 100 hands

Im winning money from all positions except BB. Im very happy being in the black from the SB even if it is just a small amount.

Hand.......Win %......PTBBs

AA...........90.32%........8.60 (wow)
AKs..........79.31%........3.27 (wow)
AK............63.64%........-0.05 (ugh)
AQs..........62.96%.......1.98
AQ............61.04...........0.87
KK.............84.62%........4.07
QQ............77.08%.........1.41

Total amount won with pairs is 144% of total amount won.

Raising suited connectors 98s-54s
27 times........2.51 PTBBs per hand...this has consistently been one of my most profitable hands usually only behind AA and KK.....throughout all stakes Ive played. You have to play it just right though and its not easy.

If anyone wants any other state, let me know