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Should I draw to my 2 outer?

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Postby CFlannagan » Tue Sep 13, 2005 6:42 pm

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Postby TightWad » Tue Sep 13, 2005 6:43 pm

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Postby EscapePlan9 » Tue Sep 13, 2005 6:43 pm

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Postby CFlannagan » Tue Sep 13, 2005 7:06 pm

Last edited by CFlannagan on Tue Sep 13, 2005 9:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Molina » Tue Sep 13, 2005 7:19 pm

EP9, you are describing the hand in a vacuum where there is only math.

The SB is described as steady if I recall correctly. 3 betting from the BB will most likely be AK, AA, KK, QQ or maybe AQ

Here are the percentage wins against what we'd assume the SB has, compared to what we have:

AA - 90% win
JJ - 10% win

KK - 96.6%
JJ - 3.3%

QQ - 91.6%
JJ - 8.36%

AK - 89.19%
JJ - 10.80%

Against AQ, JJ is a 71% favourite but, unless the SB has KK then he at least has one of the straight cards, never mind the other two opponents. Being realistic MP could have 77 and to be generous A8s.

I'm no maths whiz, but are the straight possibilities still good enough with at least 2 outs gone since you said "according to pot odds you BARELY have enough odds to continue"?

Molina
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Postby TightWad » Tue Sep 13, 2005 7:24 pm

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Postby CFlannagan » Tue Sep 13, 2005 7:29 pm

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Postby EscapePlan9 » Tue Sep 13, 2005 7:47 pm

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Postby piersmajestyk » Tue Sep 13, 2005 8:58 pm

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Postby CFlannagan » Tue Sep 13, 2005 9:13 pm

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Postby EscapePlan9 » Tue Sep 13, 2005 9:53 pm

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