Young grasshopper,
You look but do not see
Most of you got the read right as I was last to act with JJ and the MP player had 88. The SB no doubt in my mind had AK.
This hand I flopped the nuts after it being capped off preflop with two others involved and I have position. The BB capper leads out on the flop and I certainly don't want to raise here but plan on letting him fire again on the turn and trapping both of them for two big bets. If I was to raise here and he indeed has the overpair he will likely raise and knock out the MP player on most of his holdings which I don't want because whatever both of them have they are drawing either very slim or dead.
Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with
,
. CO posts a blind of $2.
1 fold,
UTG+1 raises,
Hero 3-bets,
5 folds,
SB caps,
1 fold, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.
My kind of FLOP!!!!
Flop: (14 SB)
,
,
(3 players)
SB bets, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.
Turn: (8.50 BB)
(3 players)
SB bets,
UTG+1 raises , Hero calls, SB calls.
The UTG+1 raise changed my plan up as now I knew almost certainly that he held a set of 8's. If he had an overpair he would have popped it up on the flop in all likelihood in an attempt to drive me out and protect his hand. If I raise here the EP better is almost always going to drop out unless he holds an overpair and can't lay it down or perhaps he will even three bet it if I just call. He will almost always call for another 1 bet in this spot BUT NOT two if he doesn't have an overpair so if I raise now I am likely to gain the same 1 bet that I would get by calling but I get the added bonus that if an A or K hits I may even get more from the EP guy if he holds AK and I still have my hand pretty much disguised here with the knowledge that I am going to extract at least two more and possibly 4 more bets from the UTG guy if the board cooperates because he is not going to be able to put me on JJJ here by just calling the turn.
River 4 (14.50 BB) (3 players)
SB checks, UTG+1 bets, UTGC raises, SB folds, UTG+1 3-bets, UTGC caps, UTG+1 calls.
If I 3 bet the turn and even if he caps it there and leads the river and I pop him again only the most foolish players are going to 3 bet so I am either going to get the same amount of bets from him or one less and I will likely lose the opportunity to get more from the SB if he catches an A or K on the river or just can't lay down the overpair.
Results in white below:
UTG+1 has 8h 8c (full house, eights full of fours).
Hero has Js Jd (full house, jacks full of fours).
Outcome: Hero wins 22.50 BB.
There are certainly times to start jamming it up on the flop with a powerhouse particularly when facing a multitude of opponents and a board that is more draw oriented but in this situation against two opponents and the action preflop there was no need to crank it up on the flop because in most cases I would lose one of the players most of the time, albeit if I knew he had flopped middle set then I would have been very heppy to start throwing in the bets on the flop but lacking that knowledge I wanted to give him a chance to catch a second best hand to extract some more from him if possible. Once I knew what he had I feel that I played the hand in the best possible way to get the most from it. If you consider making your opponents make calls and raises when they are in serious trouble instead of folding and calling a case of fancy play syndrome then I guess you'll just have to think that way but making your opponents make plays that are the most negative EV for them and +EV for you is what poker is all about