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AA + nut low draw, fire another bullet? - Live Poker Forums

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AA + nut low draw, fire another bullet?

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AA + nut low draw, fire another bullet?

Postby GooperMC » Tue Jan 10, 2006 11:34 am

***** Hand History for Game 3344106545 *****
$25 PL Omaha Hi/Lo - Monday, January 09, 20:45:24 EDT 2006
Table Table 68464 (Real Money)
Seat 6 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: TJohnson1 ( $0 )
Seat 2: ejdsrw ( $40.39 )
Seat 4: Finstad21 ( $14.50 )
Seat 5: BELEY ( $37.68 )
Seat 6: blueberrymik ( $23.65 )
Seat 7: tak4505 ( $29.55 )
Seat 8: lucky72499 ( $22.30 )
Seat 3: IAmABuggyBot ( $36.77 )
Seat 9: lica ( $21.15 )
Seat 10: Baltimoros ( $23.15 )
lucky72499 posts small blind [$0.10].
lica posts big blind [$0.25].

** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to IAmABuggyBot [Ad] [3h] [Ah] [8s]
Baltimoros calls [$0.25].
ejdsrw calls [$0.25].
IAmABuggyBot raises [$1.35].
BELEY calls [$1.35].
blueberrymik calls [$1.35].
lucky72499 folds.
lica calls [$1.10].
Baltimoros folds.
ejdsrw calls [$1.10].

** Dealing Flop ** [Jc], [4c], [2d]
lica checks.
ejdsrw checks.
IAmABuggyBot bets [$6.75].
BELEY calls [$6.75].
blueberrymik calls [$6.75].
lica folds.
ejdsrw folds.

** Dealing Turn ** [Th]
IAmABuggyBot ????

blue is a calling station, and beley is a massive calling station.
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Re: AA + nut low draw, fire another bullet?

Postby TomG » Tue Jan 10, 2006 12:24 pm

Usually in this situation, my thought process is something like, "If I check and someone bets the pot, I'm probably going to have the equity to call and see a river. Therefore, it's better to bet myself and generate some fold equity." However, since the villains are bigtime calling stations, the fold equity your bet might otherwise generate may be negligable. Therefore, I don't see the benefit to betting and would prefer to check-call. It also would be acceptable if it checks around and you get to see a free river card.
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Postby JDLush » Tue Jan 10, 2006 12:56 pm

Hmm...I have to think you are way ahead here against a probable flush draw and maybe 35xx or A3xx. I'd hate to give both of them a free card when I am ahead. If they are calling stations then I think you have to make them pay for something (otherwise how else will you ever make money off a calling station?).

There's something like 24 in the pot and you have about 28 left, I'd go with a half pot here, but I would have also gone a half pot on the flop. Either way, I would hate to see this checked around. I have possibly the best high still, plus 15 outs to half the pot, with maybe a couple more aces to go with it if I am raised.

If the poker gods stick it in my can on the river then c'est la vie. I would not be totally surprised to see a high card come on the river, if only because of how many players saw the flop (plus the couple that limped initially).
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