How do we like my turn cap?





***** Hand History for Game 3528775126 *****
$10/$20 Omaha Hi/Lo - Friday, February 10, 15:10:15 EDT 2006
Table Table 65244 (Real Money)
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: fghhgffgh ( $349.38 )
Seat 2: mojo512 ( $100.50 )
Seat 3: gubea ( $689.50 )
Seat 4: Hawk_eye ( $853.50 )
Seat 5: suiteb ( $400 )
Seat 6: tunagod1 ( $319.38 )
Seat 8: oliveeye ( $201.62 )
Seat 10: Xaston ( $224.50 )
Seat 9: AUbenyun ( $277 )
Seat 7: rmn40 ( $176 )
gubea posts small blind [$5].
Hawk_eye posts big blind [$10].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Xaston [ 2h Ad Qh Js ]
suiteb calls [$10].
tunagod1 calls [$10].
rmn40 folds.
oliveeye calls [$10].
AUbenyun calls [$10].
Xaston calls [$10].
fghhgffgh folds.
mojo512 folds.
gubea folds.
Hawk_eye checks.
** Dealing Flop ** [ 5s, 9c, 7d ]
Hawk_eye checks.
suiteb checks.
tunagod1 checks.
oliveeye checks.
AUbenyun checks.
Xaston bets [$10].
Hawk_eye calls [$10].
suiteb calls [$10].
tunagod1 calls [$10].
oliveeye calls [$10].
AUbenyun folds.
** Dealing Turn ** [ 8s ]
Hawk_eye checks.
suiteb checks.
tunagod1 bets [$20].
oliveeye folds.
Xaston raises [$40].
Hawk_eye folds.
suiteb calls [$40].
tunagod1 raises [$40].
Xaston raises [$40].
suiteb calls [$40].
tunagod1 calls [$20].

i can't really say i'm familiar with these games, so...

if this is anything like the higher levels of plo8, then i think it's a great move given that people don't tend to nut peddle as much.

given that suiteb is calling, i might put him on a low, too. maybe he's drawing to a higher str8 and/or the flush? don't know. i guess tuna has the str8 now.

a non-spade ten would be sweet about now.

Hmm... I think there's a reasonable chance you're getting quartered here. Your gut shot gives added value but with another player showing aggression and one cold calling two bets after the low gets there I think the chance is a bit too high, so I slow down. Then again... I'm a new and play at 0.5/1.

Turn play is gambling really. Perhaps marginally more likely you're the quarterer than the quarteree, but I think it's close against most opponents.

I don't like it (but i don't play these levels either). As it stands you are more likely to get 1/4ed then to get 1/2 and I don't think your gutty makes up for that. There are some meta game considerations, but again I don’t think they make up for the -EV of this hand.

Actually, the more I look at it, the more I think suiteb can't have much other than A2 or is a bit of a moron. Plus, I did post that last night whilst pretty much wasted...