What do you put the other guy on?

***** Hand History for Game 3800859654 *****
$1000 PL Omaha Hi-Lo - Wednesday, March 22, 22:17:50 ET 2006 Table Table 95155 (No DP) (Real Money) Seat 10 is the button Total number of players : 10
Seat 2: HakAllah ( $2355 )
Seat 3: LeonClub ( $1296.92 )
Seat 7: MilaiFo ( $1569.54 )
Seat 4: dahalia ( $222 )
Seat 10: xhatt ( $673.50 )
Seat 9: alafan11 ( $502 )
Seat 5: HUGSNLING ( $928 )
Seat 8: NOVEMBER60 ( $223 )
Seat 6: yathatsrite ( $222.25 )
Seat 1: RAISINSCOOPS ( $0 )
HakAllah posts small blind [$5].
LeonClub posts big blind [$10].

** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to HakAllah [ 2c 3s 4s 8c ]

HUGSNLING folds.
yathatsrite calls [$10].
MilaiFo folds.
NOVEMBER60 calls [$10].
alafan11 folds.
xhatt folds.
HakAllah calls [$5].
LeonClub raises [$40].
yathatsrite calls [$40].
NOVEMBER60 folds.
HakAllah calls [$40].

** Dealing Flop ** [ 8s, Jh, As ]

HakAllah checks.
LeonClub bets [$10].
yathatsrite is all-In [$172.25]
HakAllah raises [$683.75].
LeonClub is all-In [$1236.92]
HakAllah calls [$563.17].

First of all, trust me the 1k/2k games don't play so differently from the lower/middle limits... so don't worry that you guys aren't "qualified" or whatever to offer comments, etc.

Here's the rest of the hand:

** Dealing Turn ** [ Kh ]
** Dealing River ** [ 9d ]
HakAllah shows [ 2c, 3s, 4s, 8c ] a pair of eights.
LeonClub shows [ Ad, Qd, Ah, Td ] a straight, ten to ace.
yathatsrite doesn't show [ Ac, 8h, 6h, 3h ] two pairs, aces and eights.
LeonClub wins $2149.34 from side pot #1 with a straight, ten to ace.
LeonClub wins $673.75 from the main pot with a straight, ten to ace.
There was no qualifying low hand.



I like the way I played it--if the deep stack has top set (which I suspected), then if he continues he's probably making a big mistake, unless he has a flush draw to go with the set. Check the heads up equity:

Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 820 enumerated boards containing As 8s Jh
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
4s 3s 8c 2c 248 248 572 0 630 0 0 0.558
Ad Qd Td Ah 153 572 248 0 0 0 0 0.442

If I simply call, then I might draw action from hands that are behind that would fold to my raise, but since the low + flush draw relies on seeing both the turn and river to gain the equity you see in a 2dimes sim, I want to fully commit myself here.

The AAxx hand made a somewhat questionable play here, although given the amount that's already in the pot, he probably had roughly neutral equity to continue.

That's a weak flop bet by the PFR. Generally I figure weak bets like that means he's on a draw and doesn't want to pay more than $10 to see a turn card. I figure he'd be pounding that flop if he had A23, so I'd put him on something like A2KQ, A2QT, or A2JK perhaps with a flush draw. Maybe a big broadway wrap like TJQK depending on his PFR stat. Or he just has a busted A2 and is making a weak continuation bet.

I was surprised when I read the results and saw that he had AA. I know top set is a dog to the nut-low draw plus flush draw on that flop, but that's a worst case scenerio and even then he's never going to be a huge dog. I think you played it fine. It's a gamble that your flush draw is live, but oh well just jam and hope for the best. Pushing in these situations is why I think PLO8 is a lot of fun sometimes. Well, fun until I read the results of the hand.