by Telemachus » Wed Dec 15, 2004 7:43 am
An interesting post, not least because it inverts, to a degree, the conventional theory propounded here and elsewhere, of how to make money at the low level sit and gos.
Personally, and my experience in SnGs is restricted to Party 5 and 10s and UB 5 and 10s, I do not believe that the opponents at this level have the sophistication to make the 'right' folds if you get loose and aggressive early, regardless of how tight they appear. This significantly reduces the value that you would get against tighter fields from stealing blinds etc. Even if the table looks and acts tighter than normal, I still think you are going to get calls from marginal hands, leaving you in the undesirable situation of not knowing where you are on the flop. Much of the value of playing loose aggressive, in my view, is winning pots when you are behind and getting extra value when you do make a hand. Neither of these attributes work at this level, basically because the opposition is to stupid not to call when he shouldn't, and not observant enough for you top get proper value later on your loose agg image.
A specific example. You are at the 2nd level of a Party 10 SnG. Blinds 15 and 30. In middle position you are dealt A 10. You have noticed that the table is pretty tight. One limper to you.
You raise to 135.
He calls.
The flop comes A 6 4.
He checks to you. You bet the pot. He goes all in.
What do you do? My problem with making these looser raises is that players at this level will call your pre flop raise with Ax, so he could easily have made two pair, and the only way you will find out is calling for all your chips. He could even just have you outkicked, or have nothing better than a middle pair he got too attached to. In my mind, this is not a winning strategy at these levels, precisely because there is so much craziness. That is why you must wait for hands that you 'know' are ahead in the early stages. I agree that you should studiously observe betting patterns etc- but the time to use that information is later in the game.
To conclude, I agree with the general logic that you should play the opposite of the table you are at. I do not think, however, that this loose aggressive strategy at tight tables will work long term at small SnGs.