Fold this?

[Juskimo]

I cant believe I did this. Guy said he had AATT after the hand.
Anyone else fold this?

------HAND 5------
Game #2147751494: 7 Card FL ($1/$2) - 2006/04/25 - 02:39:30 (ET)
Table "Abbevill"
Seat 1: Juskimo ($131.25 in chips)
Seat 2: polebuddy ($307.05 in chips)
Seat 3: Robbiebox ($83.25 in chips)
Seat 4: B-Bremner ($27.50 in chips)
Seat 5: Tomderby ($10.86 in chips)
Seat 6: xhookedx ($99 in chips)
Seat 7: leap999 ($110 in chips)
Seat 8: nuggsy ($50.75 in chips)
B-Bremner: posts the ante $0.25
Tomderby: posts the ante $0.25
Juskimo: posts the ante $0.25
Robbiebox: posts the ante $0.25
polebuddy: posts the ante $0.25
nuggsy: posts the ante $0.25
leap999: posts the ante $0.25
xhookedx: posts the ante $0.25
----- 3rd STREET -----
dealt to Juskimo [3c 3h 3s]
dealt to polebuddy
dealt to Robbiebox
dealt to B-Bremner
dealt to Tomderby
dealt to xhookedx
dealt to leap999
dealt to nuggsy
Juskimo: bets $1
polebuddy: folds
Robbiebox: calls $1
B-Bremner: raises $2
Tomderby: folds
xhookedx: folds
leap999: folds
nuggsy: folds
Juskimo: raises $2
Robbiebox: calls $2
B-Bremner: calls $1
----- 4th STREET -----
dealt to Juskimo [3c 3h 3s][8c]
dealt to Robbiebox [2h]
dealt to B-Bremner [Ts]
B-Bremner: bets $2
Juskimo: folds
Robbiebox: folds
Returned uncalled bets $2 to B-Bremner
B-Bremner: doesn't show hand
B-Bremner collects $10.50 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot $11 Main pot $10.50 Rake $0.50
Seat 1: Juskimo folded on the 4th Street
Seat 2: polebuddy folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 3: Robbiebox folded on the 4th Street
Seat 4: B-Bremner collected $10.50
Seat 5: Tomderby folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 6: xhookedx folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 7: leap999 folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 8: nuggsy folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)

-Jus

Edit: two dimes #s

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1681958
pokenum -mc 500000 -7s 3c 3h 3s 8c - ah ad td tc / ac 6h kc jc 4h 7h 2h
7-card Stud Hi: 500000 sampled outcomes
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
3s 8c 3c 3h 385709 77.14 114291 22.86 0 0.00 0.771
Tc Ad Td Ah 114291 22.86 385709 77.14 0 0.00 0.229

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1681959
pokenum -mc 500000 -7s 3c 3h 3s 8c - ah ts td tc / ac 6h kc jc 4h 7h 2h
7-card Stud Hi: 500000 sampled outcomes
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
3s 8c 3c 3h 148064 29.61 351936 70.39 0 0.00 0.296
Ts Tc Td Ah 351936 70.39 148064 29.61 0 0.00 0.704

So I am either a 70/30 favorite or a 70/30 dog. The question is: does he have the 10 often enough to make this a decent call? I had been running extremely well at this table and knew that if he did have the 10, I was going to lose a lot.

[Dumb Snowman]

I think if you really think he might have the ten, you still gotta call down. A. You could be wrong, and B. You could boat up. I think it's more likely for him to have KKTT or AATT. I'm not a master stud player, though, and could definately be wrong.

[flafishy]

[piersmajestyk]