I suck at stud - How's this play

[RogMcBusto]

PokerStars Game #5994108202: 7 Card Stud Limit ($0.10/$0.20) - 2006/08/20 - 22:56:00 (ET)
Table 'Magdalena V' 8-max
Seat 1: PowerfulRog ($7.47 in chips)
Seat 2: thetomb ($11.26 in chips)
Seat 3: jcassino ($1.34 in chips)
Seat 4: SES3 ($6.30 in chips)
Seat 5: TTTW ($2.77 in chips)
Seat 6: uncleopey ($3.99 in chips)
Seat 7: Zigshire ($2.53 in chips)
Seat 8: bosgo123 ($4.64 in chips)
PowerfulRog: posts the ante $0.02
thetomb: posts the ante $0.02
jcassino: posts the ante $0.02
SES3: posts the ante $0.02
TTTW: posts the ante $0.02
uncleopey: posts the ante $0.02
Zigshire: posts the ante $0.02
bosgo123: posts the ante $0.02
*** 3rd STREET ***
Dealt to PowerfulRog [8c Ks Kc]
Dealt to thetomb
Dealt to jcassino
Dealt to SES3
Dealt to TTTW
Dealt to uncleopey
Dealt to Zigshire
Dealt to bosgo123
Zigshire: bets $0.10
bosgo123: folds
PowerfulRog: raises $0.10 to $0.20
thetomb: folds
jcassino: folds
SES3: calls $0.20
TTTW: folds
uncleopey: calls $0.20
Zigshire: calls $0.10
*** 4th STREET ***
Dealt to PowerfulRog [8c Ks Kc]
Dealt to SES3
Dealt to uncleopey
Dealt to Zigshire
uncleopey: checks
Zigshire: bets $0.10
PowerfulRog: raises $0.10 to $0.20
SES3: calls $0.20
uncleopey: calls $0.20
Zigshire: raises $0.10 to $0.30
PowerfulRog: calls $0.10
SES3: calls $0.10
uncleopey: calls $0.10
*** 5th STREET ***
Dealt to PowerfulRog [8c Ks Kc 9d]
Dealt to SES3 [7d Qh]
Dealt to uncleopey [Jh Kd]
Dealt to Zigshire [3c 2c]
PowerfulRog: checks
SES3: checks
uncleopey: checks
Zigshire: bets $0.20
PowerfulRog: raises $0.20 to $0.40
SES3: folds
uncleopey: folds
Zigshire: raises $0.20 to $0.60
PowerfulRog: calls $0.20
*** 6th STREET ***
Dealt to PowerfulRog [8c Ks Kc 9d 9s]
Dealt to Zigshire [3c 2c 4d]
PowerfulRog: checks
Zigshire: bets $0.20
PowerfulRog: calls $0.20
*** RIVER ***
Dealt to PowerfulRog [8c Ks Kc 9d 9s Ah]
PowerfulRog: checks
Zigshire: checks
*** SHOW DOWN ***
PowerfulRog: shows [8c Ks Kc 9d 9s Ah 4h] (two pair, Kings and Nines)
Zigshire: mucks hand
PowerfulRog collected $3.58 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $3.76 | Rake $0.18
Seat 1: PowerfulRog showed [8c Ks Kc 9d 9s Ah 4h] and won ($3.58) with two pair, Kings and Nines
Seat 2: thetomb folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 3: jcassino folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 4: SES3 folded on the 5th Street
Seat 5: TTTW folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 6: uncleopey folded on the 5th Street
Seat 7: Zigshire mucked [Jc 9c 3c 2c 4d 5h Ts]
Seat 8: bosgo123 folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)

[Beavis68]

I dont like pounding 4th vs probable flush draws because they have an equity edge on you. I think your 4th street play was good.

His action on 5th is pretty strange, and I am lost now.

I stil may bet out on 6th.

river river looks good.

[flafishy]

[emmasdad]

[Xaston]

[emmasdad]

[Beavis68]

[Juskimo]

First, there are 4 clubs out, not two (two up, two in the heros hands) so he is only drawing to 5 clubs left.

Flush has a 44% chance of filling (incorrect, see above), you are assuming that the flush will then be good. Hero still has 3 outs that counterfit the flush (without getting into other players possible draws that beat the flush), so you are getting ahead of yourself in assuming that the flush equity is as high as it is. Odds of making the flush do not equal odds of winning the hand.

Cap 4th, I would lead 5th, as this guy has shown that he likes his hand and will raise you and 3 bet when he raises your 5th street bet.
More thoughts later.

-Jus

[RogMcBusto]

This is very interesting.

[Beavis68]

see below.

[Beavis68]

[RogMcBusto]

[Kuso]

using the neildewhurst converter (left of the text box) seems to work for me when i use PT HHs. i imagine the HHs aren't importing well, if at all, from the stars horse games, but i just wanted to tell you that something does work... sometimes.

[Kuso]