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The Pat-bet/raise (PL/NL 2-7TD)

Postby Juskimo » Mon Nov 13, 2006 9:59 pm

Interesting hand and concept I have been thinking of, like to get a few thoughts on it.

PokerStars Game #7016552937: Triple Draw 2-7 Pot Limit ($0.25/$0.50) - 2006/11/13 - 22:48:15 (ET)
Table 'Tarvos IV' 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: neer69 ($55.75 in chips)
Seat 2: camis-ace ($63.25 in chips)
Seat 3: Juskimo ($53.50 in chips)
Seat 4: MYBLKTT ($51.50 in chips)
Seat 5: JxMxC ($92 in chips)
Seat 6: jimmytrick ($41.75 in chips)
Juskimo: posts small blind $0.25
MYBLKTT: posts big blind $0.50
*** DEALING HANDS ***
Dealt to Juskimo [8d Js 2d 6s Jd]
JxMxC: calls $0.50
jimmytrick: folds
neer69: folds
camis-ace: folds
Juskimo: calls $0.25
MYBLKTT: checks
Juskimo: discards 2 cards [Js Jd]
Dealt to Juskimo [5c Kh]
MYBLKTT: discards 3 cards
JxMxC: discards 2 cards
Juskimo: bets $1.50
MYBLKTT: folds
JxMxC: calls $1.50
Juskimo: discards 1 card [Kh]
Dealt to Juskimo [Td]
JxMxC: discards 1 card
Juskimo: bets $4
JxMxC: calls $4
Juskimo: stands pat
JxMxC: discards 1 card
Juskimo: bets $7
JxMxC: folds
Juskimo collected $12.50 from pot
Juskimo: doesn't show hand
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $12.50 | Rake $0
Seat 1: neer69 folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 2: camis-ace (button) folded before the Draw (didn't bet)
Seat 3: Juskimo (small blind) collected ($12.50)
Seat 4: MYBLKTT (big blind) folded after the 1st Draw
Seat 5: JxMxC folded after the 3rd Draw
Seat 6: jimmytrick folded before the Draw (didn't bet)

I suppose the idea is that if you opponent is drawing 1 on the third draw, you can assume that he is drawing to 9-14 outs, depending on which of his cards you are covering. IF that is the case, the great majority of time, he will brick.

This is probably more effective in position, but against a weak player this seems good.
Thoughts?

-Jus
[23:42] Mekos King: and lookin bck on it all
[23:42] Mekos King: I FEEL RICH JEWISH GUILT

<spank_her_pair> whats everyone up 2?
<stickdude> watching Pok's AA get stomped on by Jus's AK
<PocketSevens> For those who missed it there's proof that when you eat a lot of fish you turn into one

http://juskimo.blogspot.com/
j[d]
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Juskimo
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Posts: 2188
Joined: Thu Oct 27, 2005 8:28 pm
Location: Anchorage, AK

Postby Kuso » Mon Nov 13, 2006 11:14 pm

wwcrd?

"that basically sums up poker for me - 12" needle in the testicle." <nutkick> mvp
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