by maxwn917 » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:44 pm
Sorry I haven't replied all weekend, but I have been away from my computer since Friday. I still think that my play was good for the table I was on. I rarely play them this way, but my feeling was that with the players behind me, I would get a raise about half the time, possibly a little bit more. About 60% of the time I didn't get a raise, I would be playing a three way pot against the BB and the first limper, with position on both them. Sometimes I would lose those pots, but I had confidence in my ability to get away from it, if the signs from both of them pointed to two pair or better, or to at least minimize the losses. The rest of the time, if I missed the raise, and took a mulit-way pot with 4 to 6 others, I would just have to accept that it didn't work and play very cautiously if I didn't hit a set.
When I got the raise, things went about like I wanted, with the only mistake being I think I made was in not raising the turn. I just knew that guy had a pp from about QQ-TT, although it turned 99 was in his range too. I knew he didn't have the flush, and the odds were against JJ when the second one hit, so I should have raised there, I think. I don't know what I was scared of, as he was much too tight to have hearts, because he wouldn't have capped on preflop without AA-99, AKs, or maybe AQs, and I had the A of hearts. That left pps from KK-99, AA is extremly unlikely, KK-QQ was pretty unlikely, because he just called the raise at first, and then capped after I reraised, which I don't think he would do with KK, and probably not with QQ either.
That left JJ or lower. There's no real reason to slow down after the second J hits on the turn if you didn't slow down on the flop, because I don't really lose to Quad Js much worse than a set of Js, and the turn makes it less likely that he has JJ. So I think I should have raised the turn and possibly capped if he three-bet, because I just knew what he had and yet I was too wimpy to act on it.
Basically, the J seemed like a scary card at first, but it really wasn't because I was still losing to everything I was losing to on the flop except a hand like AJ, and this guy just didn't not play like someone would cap it on the flop with AJ. So basically I think that If I was gonna cap it on the flop in the face of the the flush, and in face of the bb probably having a pp in the range of JJ, then I still need to raise the turn. Not sure if I explained that well, but I tried.