[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 483: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/bbcode.php on line 112: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is no longer supported, use preg_replace_callback instead
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/functions.php on line 4783: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at [ROOT]/includes/functions.php:3888)
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/functions.php on line 4785: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at [ROOT]/includes/functions.php:3888)
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/functions.php on line 4786: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at [ROOT]/includes/functions.php:3888)
[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/includes/functions.php on line 4787: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at [ROOT]/includes/functions.php:3888)
How am I doing? - Live Poker Forums

Advanced search

How am I doing?

Post your tough limit holdem hands here

Moderators: piersmajestyk, LPF Police Department

How am I doing?

Postby Tiburon » Mon Jul 18, 2005 8:00 am

Before I trek off on the wedding/honeymoon, I ran some data (from 5/1/05 and more recent) and came up with the following (9468 hands of 2/4 and 3/6)...

VP$IP: 18.48%
PFR: 6.72%---Limp/Call Re-Raise PF: 0%--Cold Call Pre-Flop Raises: 108 1.14%))
Win Rate (BB/100): 3.66 (this INCLUDES the recent downspin)
W$WSF: 43.74%
WtSD: 35.40%
W$SD: 48.69%
AF-Total: 2.73

But here's the monster numbers...

Street..................Raise%.................Bet%..............Call%..............Check%...........Fold%
Flop......................8.74%.................44.62%..........20.36%............12.49%..........13.07%
Turn......................6.14%................45.04%...........19.45%...........14.23%..........14.33%
River.....................6.15%................46.93%...........16.79%...........15.29%..........13.49%

I know I call a lot more than most, but when you're throwing as many bets at hands as I do, the occasional call helps in trapping and building a pot with a drawing hand.

I'm firing money at 53.36% of flops, 51.18% of turns, and 53.08% of rivers. More numbers:

When bet/raise/check-raised:
Street..............W w/o SD%............Fold%............WtSD...................W$SD
Flop....................36.59%................20.67%..........42.74%...............50.00%
Turn................... 27.25%...............13.52%..........59.22%...............49.83%
River...................21.30%................3.55%...........75.15%...............59.45%

Can't help but notice that I do win much more when I'm more aggressive...

When Calls:
Street...........Fold%.................WtSD................W$SD
Flop..............45.80%..............46.56%............47.54%
Turn.............26.00%...............69.00%...........39.13%
River............1.43%.................98.57%...........27.54%

Can you say leak? This is as a result of overplaying hands. What would my winrate be without this pathetic crap?

Feedback would be great!
"...Every time you cold call, god kills a puppy."
--JJSCOTT2

Read my blog at
User avatar
Tiburon
Semi Pro (B&M & Online)
 
Posts: 1316
Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:27 pm
Location: South Jersey

Leak Analysis

Postby Tiburon » Mon Jul 18, 2005 3:25 pm

I also ran off my leak hands from 5/1 to present (hands where I lose ~ 0.30 BB/hand and have a VP$IP of 25.00% or more), in other words, hands I should really stop playing:

Hand.....................BB lost/hand....................VP$IP
A3s.........................-1.29.............................92.31%
22............................-1.19.............................68.25%
66............................-1.18.............................78.95%
A4s.........................-1.13.............................80.00%
TT............................-0.95............................100.00%
KQo.........................-0.77.............................88.10%
K8s..........................-0.57.............................28.57%
K9s..........................-0.40.............................25.00%
AJo..........................-0.30.............................97.06%
A8o..........................-0.30.............................56.25%
97s...........................-0.29.............................41.67%
87s...........................-0.28.............................26.67%

Analysis:

A4s, A3s:
I'm REALLY overplaying suited aces. I'm chasing nut flushes and losing money when I miss. I think I'm also overplaying TPWK with suited aces if an ace flops. Basically, if you're not flopping a 4-flush, 4-straight, 2 pair or better, I need to let these hands go on the flop rather than send good bets in in a -EV situation.

Middle to Small Pairs (TT, 66, 22):
66 and 22 should be folds for me from EP, and even when I can get away with limping with them, they should likely be a set-it-or-forget-it proposition. To me, TT and JJ are the most vulnerable of the premium hands in holdem. Some players will play offsuit paint, some will play any king or any ace, and with JJ or TT, you're likely beat when an overcard hits the flop.

Offsuit Broadways (KQo, AJo);
Repeat after me (not that you all need to): These hands suck. These hands suck. AJo is the beer-goggled babe of poker--she looks real good at first, then you wake up and realize she wasn't all she was cracked up to be--and, mysteriously with a lighter wallet. These are NOT premium hands. To think that I'm VP$IP'ing at 97.06% and PFR'ing at 85.29% with AJo is amazing. Many players who would call such a raise already have you beaten, unless the deck hits you in the mouth on the flop. AJo should be a limping hand, unless you're in an unraised pot in LP and you're sure a raise would win you the pot right then and there. And KQo? Sucks. Bad. So why do I play it 88.10% of the time? I can tell you, they're all limps (except 2 raises--ugh), and it's me flopping a K or Q and muppeting the damn thing down to the river.

Suited Kings (K9s, K8s):
Same crap. I threw a bet in trying to flop a flush. What is it that Sklansky and Miller say about the possibility of making your hand and still losing. Oh, that's right. DON"T!

A8o:
Another junk hand. I only play it from LP or MP, and that's too much. I should likely tighten that up to ATo or better.

Suited Connectors:
The hands I hate the most in all of poker. The kind of hands you should look to hit big or get out. I never played these until I'd see all these muppets hitting them huge on me. Then, I realized that I can't play like a muppet so they suck for me. They're the least shitty of the above hands, so I'll play them in LP (limping) just to screw with table psyche. The key with suited connectors is to either hit with them or toss them. Solid advice.
[/b]
"...Every time you cold call, god kills a puppy."
--JJSCOTT2

Read my blog at
User avatar
Tiburon
Semi Pro (B&M & Online)
 
Posts: 1316
Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:27 pm
Location: South Jersey

Postby Nortonesque » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:14 pm

User avatar
Nortonesque
Enthusiast (B&M & Online)
 
Posts: 1820
Joined: Mon Nov 08, 2004 5:55 pm
Location: Oregon


Return to Limit Hold'em Cash Games

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 3 guests

cron