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Easiest River Fold Ever, Right? - Live Poker Forums

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Easiest River Fold Ever, Right?

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Easiest River Fold Ever, Right?

Postby Xaston » Thu Oct 27, 2005 8:05 pm

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Postby Kuso » Thu Oct 27, 2005 8:25 pm

Any PT reads or other reads?

My initial thought is that if you call on the turn, you've got to be prepared to call on the river. His betting smells like a high pocket pair to me, but I know absolutely nothing about this level of play.
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Postby Xaston » Thu Oct 27, 2005 9:06 pm

33/21 which I believe is considered overly loose and aggressive at a full table, but I haven't seen him get out of line yet. What can he 3 bet the flop with? An overpair or AK or AQ, right? I suppose 6s and 7s aren't out of the question, but I'd expect a check behind on the river from those, unless of course he though he could bluff me off a 9............... ANyone else got thoughts?
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Postby Xaston » Thu Oct 27, 2005 9:07 pm

Could be a QdJd or JdTd or even one of them without a flush draw that just decided to go buck wild, and decided that even though they missed the Ace is a nice scare card to bluff. Uh oh, now I'm starting to think maybe its not such an easy fold.....PIERS!? MECOS!? ESCAPEPLAN!? TIBURON!? Briachek, bahahaaha just kidding PLO boy. Talk about a puppet moderator!
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Postby Tiburon » Thu Oct 27, 2005 10:01 pm

It's tough here, X. He's 33/21. He's playing everything down to suited two-gappers, and raising with crap like KTs. If the ace didn't scare him, I'd be worried about an ace here. He just as easily could have whiffed on a K or Q high flush draw. I almost think that with the pot being $495 on the river (8.25 BB), you only need to have him NOT have 55, 99, TT, JJ, QQ, KK, or any Ace 1 in 9 times to make the call profitable.

That being said, even though it was a LAG making a button raise, I'm not sure I defend with T9.

Me personally, I think it smells like [Ad]-rag of diamonds, he just hit his ace and has you beat, but you still have to call it...
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Postby EscapePlan9 » Thu Oct 27, 2005 10:12 pm

I'm currently drunk but I'll analyze the hand tomorrow.
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