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As for your recent downswing, I think variance can always be a factor. You should think about how you are playing, if anything could possibly be affecting you. Of course, this hard look at your playing is definetly a good thing. If you have only been winning at .5BB/100 I think there is room for improvement and some leaks that can be found. Maybe post some hand examples where you have won or lost more than 5 BB.
Statistics: Posted by KikoSanchez — Tue Sep 13, 2005 12:29 am
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Good luck, and if you need any more help, feel free to post or PM me!
Statistics: Posted by Tiburon — Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:32 pm
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Anyway, I am going to look at the numbers and your suggestions and try to take it to the next level. Thank you again.
And if anyone else has suggestions/comments, they would be really appreciated.
BB
Statistics: Posted by bronxbomber — Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:27 pm
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VP$IP stats: You're actually a little tighter than me. Good stuff, and your VP$IP from the SB almost matches mine to the decimal.
Blind Steal/Defense: I defend my blind a little more aggressively than you do. Funny part is that you're more successful in your defense than I am. That should tell me something...
If you're going to showdown 29.54% of the time, and winning 59.55% of the time, it sorta reeks of weak-tightness. You actually may be leaving some money on the table by folding out early.
You're aggressive pre-flop, at 15.25/6.51. You actually raise a higher percentage of your hands than me. However, it seems like you tend to slow down after a PFR. I'll show you my stats post-PFR to compare:
First Action on Flop after PFR..............BronxBomber.......Tiburon
Raise.........................................................11.55%.............9.63%
Bet.............................................................41.47%............66.30%
Call.............................................................4.51%...............5.75%
Check........................................................25.95%..............3.90%............. (wow)
Check/Raise................................................3.98%..............2.78%
Fold.............................................................4.45%...............0.47%
No Flop/No Action.......................................8.10%..............11.18%
I am also ridiculously aggressive with leading betting, PFR or not.
As for aggression, you are also very aggressive, but you're allowing people to check too often. Yes, the numbers would be useful. Mine for comparison:
Street............Raise%.............Bet%............Check%
Flop................7.50%.............41.09%..........16.69%
Turn...............4.71%.............42.38%...........18.10%
River..............5.21%.............48.29%...........16.56%
My overall aggression numbers are similar to yours, though my river numbers are higher, and I'd bet that I check a lot less (but I do call more--my personal leak).
Your numbers by action do show symptoms of weak/tightness, and do tell me that you may be leaving money on the table by not betting solid but non-nuts hands. By that, I mean that you're winning an obscene number of hands when you bet the river--you're only betting with solid hands. This really isn't a bad thing, but like I said, comparing them to when you just call, you're really ONLY betting hands you're sure are winners. I also show these tendencies in my play, only not to the extreme level of your numbers.
My only suggestion is to enhance your reading ability. You seem (and I could be wrong here) to be playing on the first level of poker thought and maybe into the second:
Level 1: What do I have? What is my hand, and what hand can I make from this?
Level 2: What does my opponent have? What is his hand? Can my hand beat what I think he has?
Level 3: What does my opponent think I have? If I were him, what hand would I put me on? Does he think he has the best hand even though I know he doesn't?
Level 4: What does my opponent think that I think they have? What hand is my opponent thinking that I feel they're playing?
I think you're a solid player (from your numbers). Your main problems (IMHO, of course) are the following:
1) Are you laying down solid, but non-nut hands, leaving money on the table when your hand is really good?
2) About your losses from EP and the blinds. Everybody loses money from the blinds. It's normal. What hands are you playing in EP? Go into the position stats tab of PT and highlight your losing positions one by one, then print out the list of hands you've played (I believe the second window, that lists everything by AKs, AKo, etc). Look at the hands you're playing with a VP$IP > 50%. These are the hands you play more often than not from the respective position. Evaluate your pre-flop hand standards, and look at what you actually play from EP. Ideally, your VP$IP should be lowest from the blinds, and increase steadily to the button. Don't worry if yours isn't a perfect curve, but look for the trends above all. You could also be losing hands because you're scared off by raises after you act early on.
I hope this helps you a bit, and please realize that your mileage may vary with my advice.
Statistics: Posted by Tiburon — Sat Sep 10, 2005 3:19 pm
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Total hands: 23,145
VP$IP 15.25%
VP$IP from SB 25.11%
Saw Flop all hands 19.67%
Saw Flop Not a Blind 13.13%
Folded SB to Steal: 86.62%
Folded BB to Steal: 78.8%
Fold BB to Steal HU: 70.87%
Blind Defense: Fold% Ww/oSD% WSD% W$SD%
Small Blind 23.81 28.57 47.62 50.0
Big Blind 39.13 21.74 39.13 61.11
Att. To Steal Blinds: 13.83%
Steal Succ: No Flop% Fold% Ww/oSD% WSD% W$SD%
25.0 20.83 47.22 31.94 60.87
Won $ When Saw Flop: 30.29%
Went to Showdown: 29.54%
Won % at SD: 59.55
Raised Pre-flop: 6.51%
Limp/Call Reraise PF 0.02%
First Action on Flop After A Pre-Flop Raise:
Raise: 11.55%
Bet: 41.47%
Call: 4.51%
Check: 25.95%
Check/Raise: 3.98%
Fold: 4.45%
No Flop/No Action: 8.10%
((I can post the actual action numbers if someone thinks they will be useful, otherwise just aggression factors from this table)
Aggression Factor
Flop: 2.42
Turn: 2.99
River: 1.88
BET/RAISED/CHECK-RAISED
Player Actions: Ww/oSD% Fold% WSD% W$SD%
Pre-Flop: 25.81 32.25 41.94 60.76
Flop: 26.65 22.91 50.44 59.22
Turn: 27.87 8.40 63.73 57.05
River: 21.64 1.11 77.25 78.73
JUST CALLED
Ww/oSD% Fold% WSD% W$SD%
Pre-Flop 9.62 67.34 23.04 59.53
Flop 6.72 50.10 43.19 61.78
Turn 2.59 21.36 76.05 57.87
River 0.00 0.37 99.63 31.37
Folded to River Bet: 49.63%
When Folds Hand:
No Fold% Preflop% Flop% Turn% River%
9.01 79.63 7.00 3.15 1.21
Check Raises: 269 Times, 2.24% possible actions,
Flop% 60.59 Turn% 32.34 River% 7.06
Statistics: Posted by bronxbomber — Fri Sep 09, 2005 9:19 pm
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