]]>
]]>
]]>
in order to call a pot-sized bet three-way you need 12 outs (25% chance of making your hand on the next street) so that you breakeven in the long run.
In this case you call the flop bet assuming you are behind an have outs to improve,
namely 12 (9 clubs that make your hand, 3 GutSs).
You have ~25% chance of making your hand on the turn. You breakeven with your call . Fold.
On the turn nothing has changed except
that now you are not closing the action and are facing a pot sized-bet 2-way for what you need 33% (15 outs) in order to break even. The call loses money. Fold.
Off course there are some factors that change your EVs calculated above.
A) Knowing the tendencies of both opponents involved (Implied odds )
B) The way the hand played out
C) Your gambling mood
D) others
Statistics: Posted by bassline — Sun Jun 25, 2006 11:42 am
]]>
]]>
You really have only one nut out, namely Kc, which may well be in the caller's hand. I'm also pretty willing to believe that an offsuit 3 is good, and maybe the flush, too, but the flush I view as less certain.
I think there are better spots.
Statistics: Posted by Aisthesis — Sun Jun 25, 2006 5:45 am
]]>
]]>
PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha High, $2 BB (9 handed) from (Format: Bet The Pot)
saw flop|saw showdown
BB ($80.85)
UTG ($297.10)
UTG+1 ($473.10)
MP1 ($33)
MP2 ($325.10)
MP3 ($149.60)
CO ($207.40)
Button ($165.80)
Hero ($219.70)
Preflop: Hero is SB with
![[Jc]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Jc.gif "The Jack of Clubs")
, ![[5c]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/5c.gif "The Five of Clubs")
, ![[Jh]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Jh.gif "The Jack of Hearts")
, ![[2d]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/2d.gif "The Two of Diamonds")
. UTG calls $2, 3 folds, MP3 calls $2, 1 fold, Button calls $2, Hero completes, BB checks.
Flop: ($10)
![[Ac]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Ac.gif "The Ace of Clubs")
, ![[Qc]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Qc.gif "The Queen of Clubs")
, ![[4s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/4s.gif "The Four of Spades")
(5 players)Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets $9.5, MP3 calls $9.50, Button folds, Hero calls $9.50, BB folds.
Turn: ($38.50)
![[5s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/5s.gif "The Five of Spades")
(3 players)Hero checks, UTG checks, MP3 bets $36.6, Hero calls $36.60, UTG calls $36.60.
River: ($148.30)
![[8h]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/8h.gif "The Eight of Hearts")
(3 players)Hero checks, UTG checks, MP3 bets $101.5 (All-In), Hero folds, UTG calls $101.50.
Final Pot: $351.30
Statistics: Posted by davebreal — Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:18 pm
]]>