Hand 2 I think you just about have odds to draw on the turn but it's very tight. The main worry is that with a field playing, the chances some of your outs are in other players' hands is increased, which makes coming along -EV. With 9 outs to half the pot, and 6 known cards, you're hitting here about 20% of the time (if we assume we know nothing about the opponents' hands, which is fair enough so far) for half the pot, which is 10% equity or so. So for your $2 (closing the betting) call you want the final pot to be $20+ to turn any sort of profit. This means you need to bag an extra 3 BBs from your two opponents on the river, which seems unlikely, when the board pairs. However, there's always a slim chance your set might be good anyways (and you may get the chance to show it down for free), so factoring that in it's close. Probably a marginal fold but in real terms it's by a very very slim margin.
Hand 3 seems OK. Some would fold that flop but with 5 guys in I think peeling one off is OK.
As to your last question, with position on the raiser I'd make the call there. If you really think you can outplay him you might want to isolate, but generally I don't recommend that!Statistics: Posted by Felonius_Monk — Mon Aug 21, 2006 7:07 pm
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