Specifically in PLO, it seems to me VERY important because it's going to be the basis for deciding whether it's better to check-raise or bet out. Surely others besides me have had this happen: I think LP is pretty loose and will bet, hence check my top set. Then it gets checked around AND the flush hits the turn with betting from a credible player. Well... maybe he would have called my bet anyway, but it's aggravating.
Anyhow, I think the reason it's a lot harder for me to get this read rather than others (like "pursues thin draws," "slowplays," "bets only made hands," "loose/tight hand selection," etc.) is that the situation actually would arise typically only once every 9 hands even if the particular player were play every hand in LP. And if the player makes what looks like a buy attempt even twice in a row, that can also be that he just had a hand those times.
Also, I think almost everyone is willing to bet thinner values in LP, but the question is just how thin. The chronic LP buyer is one imo who is going to bet to checks 80% of the time or more over a decent number of hands.
So, my project is going to be this: With every player in my database on whom I have at least 100 hands (I might change that number a little depending on how this turns out), get an actual percentage on how often they bet to checks in LP, then given them an icon I can easily recognize based on that percentage. Around 80% I'm going to take as chronic LP buyer whom you need to check-raise on your big hands.
Something that also belongs in this thread: I'm thinking that a good percentage to have here for oneself is probably somewhere in the 50% area--maybe up to 60% if the table is pretty straightforward and on flops that aren't highly multi-way, and maybe as low as 30% (which is getting close to the value bet range but no doubt throws in a fair number of hands you wouldn't have bet in EP) on multi-way flops and/or tables with a lot of slowrollers/trappers.Statistics: Posted by Aisthesis — Sun Oct 15, 2006 1:10 am
]]>