Anyhow, I just play it differently. I'm not arguing this is right or wrong. You lose your whole stack to a set, I don't. You might win the whole of a draw's stack, I might not. You might give a free card to a weak flush draw, I won't. I might lose to a higher two pair with a scabby draw, you're slightly less likely to. There's lots of good and bad aspects with either play. The best play may be a check fold. So be it; it's not that regular a situation anyhow and I think all three are close enough to not be a major issue in a 200 game. I hope we're both in agreement that a check-CALL OOP is not a good play though?
On the turn don't forget you check-CALLED the flop. I'm yet to see a shortie with $30 who doesn't push it in on this turn. When he does that you can then apply adequate pressure to MP2, who then won't be getting appropriate odds to call for most draws. If he calls (and, as you said, a good river is unlikely to be forthcoming) what do you do when the almost inevitable straight/flush river card comes? You've left yourself just enough money to get raped by a draw, or do you fold? I dunno. I'd rather either keep it smaller or get it all in on the turn and take away that tough decision.
Having manufactured that river decision, I think it's best to check it to your opponent and see if he'll bet. I think you've enough bluff calling equity to make it a decent play. Against most opponents I think betting out is probably marginally -EV.Statistics: Posted by Felonius_Monk — Tue Oct 24, 2006 5:52 pm
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