Hand 2, I think I like your line, but I'd also consider pushing the turn (again, given your read) - he might've backed into a wierd two pair here or simply be trying to push you off a hand with a strong draw. 34 is a possibility, of course, but even in that situation you have as many as 15 outs. A sandbagged set off the flop is also possible (I'd play a set much like he did here, quite often) but again you're not in terrible shape. I think you're ahead often enough here that pushing him off his airy bluff or making him pay if he has a draw/weedy 2 pair is worth enough to offset the times you'll run into a set or straight. But yeah, I like your line too - I can't see folding this river, given your read.
Hand 3 is standard. He'll have a missed flush draw here at least the 35% of the time you require to turn a profit, although I do expect to run into broadway pretty frequently, you can't automatically give credit for backdoor draws, unless your opponent is excrutiatingly tight.
Pok 7s, folding the turn in hand 2 would be pretty bad IMO.Statistics: Posted by Felonius_Monk — Sun Jul 08, 2007 11:13 am
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