Flop comes Q96 with diamond draw (I have spades). SB, who is imo one of the best PLO100 players (25/9 and major winner in my database) pots. All others fold. I have $194, SB has about the same.
I decide to try the call line here with position.
What does he have? Well, he can definitely have a lower set or top 2, but also a strong draw, of which there are a few. While a lot of the 100 players will tip their hands with a sub-pot bet on a draw, I don't think this guy will.
Turn makes diamonds with 5d. SB checks, and I pot. He CRs pot, and I fold.
Opinions?
Despite the result, I think I rather like my line here. It puts a lot of pressure on lower flushes. I don't think he can make the CR without the nut flush, really.
I did have some second thoughts after the hand about possibly taking the free card, but I really don't particularly care for that option the more I think about it, although I'm not completely sure how to approach the river if he check-calls. I'll probably need to fire again.
I'm also not sure about playing the nut flush the way he presumably did. The way I'm playing my hand doesn't look at all like a set imo, so I'm not sure that a check-call line isn't superior in the hope that I'll bluff a blank river (basically, it's at least unusual for me to have more than 4 outs here). Admittedly, it creates problems for him on paired boards.Statistics: Posted by Aisthesis — Mon Aug 06, 2007 2:43 pm
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