But I am convinced it is definately a suboptimal strategy and that you miss out on a lot of money. And I also think (although I haven't played higher than $100) that against better opponents you will be in bad shape if you are never aggressive preflop.
Not raising any hand preflop will definately accomplish the goal of disguising your hand. But there are other ways to accomplish that, such as folding all of them, raising all of them, or just mixing it up. You should avoid becoming predictable against good opponents, but on most tables that means that you should avoid raising AAxx only.
It is true that if you don't raise preflop and you have top set that you might get a lot of action from someone with middle set. But you get the same action with a better payout if you raise many hands, so that he cannot put you on your top set. Assume you are playing a more or less sensible player X, and you just limped with AAxx to flop AT5r, and that X has TTxx. Now you bet the pot (4BB) and X raises the pot, making it 12BB to go. If there are draws on the board, you better reraise, making it 36BB to go. By assumption, X was more or less reasonable and starts wondering now. He might call the 36 but you're not getting much more out of him.
Now consider the case where you raised to 3BB before the flop and got 3 callers. Now the pot is 12BB; you bet pot, opponent raises pot (to 36BB) and now you can reraise allin. If he calls you get his entire stack. If not, you got 36BB. The best outcome in the first scenario is the worst outcome in the second.
There are situations where I like to see a cheap flop. For example, when I have a really marginal hand that needs to hit a very specific flop to win. If I have a hand like a 3-6 wrap or a pair of queens with not-so-good sidecards then there is not much benefit in raising.
Another situation is when there are many short stacks, in which case the stacks are not deep enough to play poker on the flop. (This is of course different in holdem where your hand can be very dominating.) But then, I don't like to play in a game where the majority of players has less than half a buyin.
Finally (sorry this turns into a bit of a rant), I agree that in the smaller games a raise will not necessarily weed out the crappy hands. But there are many other arguments to raise preflop than just weeding hands out. You want to take the initiative, manipulate pot size, and make people with weaker hands pay to see the flop. Imagine this scenario (which is far from uncommon): you have AQJTds, and your opponent has AKJT, but not suited. (Here you want your opponent to call of course.) Now the flop is KQ6. You both have a straight draw, but if the flop has one or two of one of your suits you're in such a better shape because of your extra draws and redraws. If you read your opponent for the straight draw you want to get as much money in as fast as possible (before the flush hits and he sees he's beat). Everytime you have the same draw/made hand but you have a freeroll to your opponents stack you need to be able to push it in as fast as you can.
Well, I'm curious what Monk and other experts have to say about this, but I think that the advantages of raising are much, much bigger than those of limping.
PieterStatistics: Posted by Hofstra — Mon Apr 18, 2005 5:02 pm
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