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Live Poker Forum - Online Poker Forums & Hand Analysis Poker Forum 2005-07-29T10:41:06-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/feed.php?f=24&t=5022&mode 2005-07-29T08:34:05-06:00 2005-07-29T08:34:05-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=5022&p=34834#p34834 <![CDATA[How greedy do you get here?]]> Statistics: Posted by JDLush — Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:34 am

]]> 2005-07-29T10:41:06-06:00 2005-07-29T08:00:40-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=5022&p=34829#p34829 <![CDATA[How greedy do you get here?]]> Statistics: Posted by GooperMC — Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:00 am

]]> 2005-07-28T07:15:36-06:00 2005-07-28T07:15:36-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=5022&p=34596#p34596 <![CDATA[How greedy do you get here?]]> Statistics: Posted by JDLush — Thu Jul 28, 2005 7:15 am

]]> 2005-07-27T19:27:35-06:00 2005-07-27T19:27:35-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=5022&p=34542#p34542 <![CDATA[How greedy do you get here?]]>
In this spot I would probably fold and look for a better time to try and double up through him.
I see 4 possible scenarios
1) He is bluffing with a K high flush draw (or some other garbage) and you will be way ahead.
2) He has the case Q with a worse kicker and you will be 2:1 ahead.
3) He has the Q6 boat and you will be a 5:1 dog.
4) He has the 66 boat This is likely and you will be a 2:1 dog.

Apply some random probabilities to the scenarios
1) .02
2) .60
3) .25
4) .13

Do a not so meaningful EV calc
EV = (.02)(55) + (.60)(17.6) + (.25)(-33) + (.13)(-17.6)
EV = approx 0

It really comes down to your read and how laggy this guy is. However unless you are convinced that Q no kicker is 3x more likely then Q6 then I highly doubt pushing will be +EV so I would fold and find a better spot.

Statistics: Posted by GooperMC — Wed Jul 27, 2005 7:27 pm

]]> 2005-07-27T16:28:16-06:00 2005-07-27T16:28:16-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=5022&p=34507#p34507 <![CDATA[How greedy do you get here?]]>
The alternative possibility was calling the flop and then reevaluating on the turn, but I don't really see what that achieves. I guess you just have to take a deep breath and make the raise. Against a non-LAG I think it might be time to consider giving up, however. Just depends how LAGgy you think he is!

Statistics: Posted by Felonius_Monk — Wed Jul 27, 2005 4:28 pm

]]> 2005-07-27T07:58:44-06:00 2005-07-27T07:58:44-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=5022&p=34361#p34361 <![CDATA[How greedy do you get here?]]>
Before you reraised, did you have a plan about what you would do if he raised back at you? If that thought makes me cringe, I would just call the flop bet rather than bet back.

That being said, if your BR can handle the increased variance of duking it out with a LAG, then I don't think you can really ask for a better place to do it than here.

Statistics: Posted by Kuso — Wed Jul 27, 2005 7:58 am

]]> 2005-07-27T06:27:38-06:00 2005-07-27T06:27:38-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=5022&p=34342#p34342 <![CDATA[How greedy do you get here?]]>
I get AA3Q with a suited ace. LAG min raises, I pot it, one other guy calls, LAG calls.

Flop comes QQ6 with 2 hearts (my suit). Caller checks to LAG who pots it. Ok, I figure he's got a Q, or perhaps 66. If it's a Q then I almost certainly have him out kicked. If he's already boated then I'm drawing to a backdoor low or 2 aces at best. I decide to re-pot it back at him (about a $12 raise IIRC).

He pots back at me. WWYD?

Statistics: Posted by JDLush — Wed Jul 27, 2005 6:27 am

]]>