As you can't be certain here which of your draws is live on the flop (if any) I'd have been tempted to wait this one out and fold there.
Once you get a second caller you have to expect there to be a very high likelihood of someone having 2 pair or a higher set. Then when the board pairs, you want to showdown cheaply. On the river, unless these guys suck, it's hard to see them calling down a full pot bet with a weaker hand. I'd bet it a little lighter, in the absence of a specific read (though you did say this guy seemed a bit tilty?). Once it's raised you need a pretty special read to call down - notice also that you're not closing the betting and either player could have you beat. I think I'd save my money.
Oh yeah, and out of position from the SB (remember, this is a post-flop game) I wouldn't complete with that hand. It's not that there's anything WRONG with being loose preflop in PLO, but it can feed post-flop leaks - that is, you got in, hit your hand and still lost all your chips. So you shouldn't have played the hand in the first place. You make it easier for yourself if you struggle with marginal spots by not playing hands that are liable to hit flops marginally. To re-iterate; the SB complete is neither here nor there, but it's big -EV if you lose money after the flop more often than you win when you hit your hand.
Hope this helps!
Monk
xxxxxStatistics: Posted by Felonius_Monk — Tue Aug 02, 2005 1:57 pm
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