Hand 2: Similar answer to hand 1 really. Would be an odd spot for him to spring a bluff, but at PLO25 you're possibly getting the 1/3 odds you need to call against the average $25 opponent. Your read seems pretty accurate though, his play looks like a draw and that card makes one of the most obvious draws out there. Against anyone decent and straightforward I think folding is best.
Hand 3:
I don't bet that flop because it's only a draw and you've got to be scared of a check-raise (or pumping the pot against someone who likely has a set). I definitely check the river too, his passive play suggests a drawing hand or perhaps a non-nut straight, so he's unlikely to be calling with a weaker hand (J9 or low flush) but might just be laying a trap with a boat. Happy to showdown here.
Hand 4:
I actually take a call here often because if one of my 9 outs hits he'll give up his stack, although with him starting the hand a little short of a full one it's a lot closer. There's $7.35 in the pot plus $13.50-odd in his stack if you hit the turn for a $3.50 investment; you hit one time in 5 or so (depending on what cards this guy has) for $21 profit it's nicely +EV, even discounting the number of times he has one of your outs covered in his hand or redraws you on the river to win it.
If he has a deeper stack it's a much more attractive call.Statistics: Posted by Felonius_Monk — Fri Aug 12, 2005 7:50 pm
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