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anyway, i am 200+ ptobb/100 at the $200 plo8 tables, and i'm thinking that it's sustainable.
Statistics: Posted by Kuso — Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:22 am
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I should tell you a little more about what I was thinking. First, I had no read on this guy -- no PTO stats and no other read. I had no idea that he would call me down with the kind of hand that he had. Looking at his stats now after a bit of datamining, he turned out to be a bit of a calling station -- specifically, he was SL preflop and he rarely folded on the turn and river.
Once the turn card hit, I figured that I was in the range of where Goopers twodimes numbers put me -- 40% to 60%. I had lots of outs for the low, the flush, and a ragged high (e.g., set, 2pr, etc.). He didn't bet out, which was really rare for this game, so I had to assume that he didn't really like his hand too much. As such, my pot equity plus fold equity that I thought I had (but really didn't) seemed to make the turn bet a reasonable one. I was willing to go to the felt even if he CRed me on the turn. In fact, I thought there was a good chance that this would happen.
Anyway, had I known that he was unlikely to fold, I definitely agree that taking a card would have been right.
Also, Gooper, I wouldn't really call the 200 tables "moving up" from the 100s -- at least not when there is a lot of table selection. The quality of play (or lack, thereof) strikes me as very similar to the 100s. I was sitting at this table simply because it was the loosest one of the 100s and 200s. For some reason, I have become somewhat numb to the betting amounts, and I am able to just focus on my game. If you have a chance, I encourage you to do some 200 datamining. You'll find that a lot of the players are the same as the 100s (both good and bad players), and there are plenty of people who have no problem dumping a stack with 2pr on a flush board.
Statistics: Posted by Kuso — Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:29 am
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Oh, did I also mention that it was my first time sitting at a $200 table?
Anyway, here is how the hand played out. Comments?
$200 PL Omaha Hi/Lo
Seat 9 is the button
Total number of players : 9
Seat 1: Ellicious ( $191 )
Seat 2: alkicker ( $454.13 )
Seat 3: LOOSE_VGINA ( $370.78 )
Seat 4: Hero ( $199 )
Seat 6: Tindio ( $215.26 )
Seat 7: rosie_b ( $164.06 )
Seat 8: adbynot ( $193 )
Seat 9: THEPOUNDER1 ( $295.93 )
Seat 10: MRBIG1294 ( $158.25 )
MRBIG1294 posts small blind [$1].
Ellicious posts big blind [$2].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ Ad Ah 2c 3d ]
alkicker calls [$2].
MrsChow has joined the table.
Hero raises [$9].
Tindio folds.
rosie_b folds.
adbynot folds.
THEPOUNDER1 folds.
MRBIG1294 folds.
Ellicious folds.
alkicker calls [$7].
** Dealing Flop ** [ Qd, 8h, Jh ]
alkicker checks.
Hero bets [$19.95].
alkicker calls [$19.95].
** Dealing Turn ** [ 4d ]
alkicker checks.
Hero bets [$57.90].
alkicker calls [$57.90].
** Dealing River ** [ 9d ]
alkicker checks.
Hero bets [$100].
alkicker calls [$100].
Hero shows [ Ad, Ah, 2c, 3d ] a flush, ace high.
alkicker doesn't show [ As, Jd, 8s, Qs ] two pairs, queens and jacks.
Hero wins $373.70 from the main pot with a flush, ace high.
There was no qualifying low hand.
I feel a bit silly for not pushing on the river or betting a little less... I didn't realize that I would only have $20 left. I was hoping to make it a small enough number that he would call -- $90 probably would have been better. Anyway, I'm happy.
Statistics: Posted by Kuso — Fri Nov 11, 2005 5:17 pm
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