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If you put him on something like 2 pair...maybe 89...then you have about a 32% chance that the river gives you the hand. Even against a set of fours you're about 30%. Since he's short, if you just call $7 on the turn you probably have a shot at getting his money in the pot on the river if you hit.
There is $16.50 in the pot. If you call for $7 you're getting about 2.3 to 1 on your money. You're about a 2-1 dog to most hands he has. So you're getting the odds to call, and then push on the river if you hit, especially your straight. And even a flush is going to be tough for him to read, given how you played it, so your implied odds are pretty solid.
Statistics: Posted by mike_m235 — Thu Jun 01, 2006 9:54 pm
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1. once BB raises....the stack sizes dictate that he's going to call your all in. you'd have more fold equity with a checkraise all in on the turn. and you see a free card when he checks behind.
2. you will rarely have fold equity at shorthanded $50NL
Statistics: Posted by ua1176 — Thu Jun 01, 2006 9:50 pm
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Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
4 players
Stack sizes:
UTG: $70.05
Button: $79.75
Hero: $58.05
BB: $27.15
Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is SB with
![[Ts]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Ts.gif "The Ten of Spades")
![[Js]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Js.gif "The Jack of Spades")
UTG folds, Button calls, Hero calls, BB checks.
Flop:
![[9s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/9s.gif "The Nine of Spades")
![[4s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/4s.gif "The Four of Spades")
![[6h]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/6h.gif "The Six of Hearts")
($1.5, 3 players)Hero bets $1, BB calls, Button folds.
Turn:
![[8d]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/8d.gif "The Eight of Diamonds")
($3.5, 2 players)Hero bets $3, BB raises to $10, Hero raises all-in $56.55, BB calls all-in $15.65.
Uncalled bets: $30.9 returned to Hero.
Results:
Final pot: $54.8
Statistics: Posted by Jarren — Thu Jun 01, 2006 9:33 pm
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